The Stephie Smalls Show is back talking NFL Draft betting, fantasy football sleepers, and breaking NFL news with Dave Kluge from Footballguys Fantasy Football.

Stephie and Dave react to the surprising DJ Moore trade to the Buffalo Bills, what it means for Josh Allen and the Bills offense, and why the Chicago Bears may have quietly won the deal. They also discuss the Bears’ young offensive core featuring Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, and Colston Loveland and whether Chicago is a sneaky over bet on their win total this season.

Then the conversation shifts to the 2026 NFL Draft running back class, including why Jeremiah Love is viewed as the clear RB1 in the class and where he might land. Possible landing spots include the Washington Commanders, Kansas City Chiefs, Tennessee Titans, and Arizona Cardinals.

Dave also highlights several fantasy football sleepers and rookie draft targets, including:

• Emmit Johnson – a pass-catching running back with comparisons to Ahmad Bradshaw
• Mike Washington Jr. – an explosive combine standout
• Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen from Penn State
• Adam Randall (Clemson) – a former wide receiver turned running back compared to Cordarrelle Patterson

The show also breaks down NFL free agency storylines including:

• Kyler Murray potentially landing with the Minnesota Vikings
• Malik Willis’ free agency value and possible landing spots
• Kenneth Walker vs Travis Etienne in the running back market
• Wide receiver free agents like Romeo Doubs, Alec Pierce, Wan’Dale Robinson, and Mike Evans

Plus, Dave explains how fantasy managers should approach rookie drafts and whether it’s better to bet on talent or situation when evaluating incoming NFL rookies.

If you love NFL Draft analysis, fantasy football strategy, and betting insights, this episode is packed with takes.

0:00 - Intro
1:35 - Dave Kluge Origins
2:09 - DJ Moore Trade
4:51 - Bills Offense Debate
6:07 - Josh Allen Decline?
7:29 - Bills Championship Window
8:27 - Bears Cap Space
9:17 - Bears Win Total
10:06 - Rookie RB Preview
12:41 - Jeremiah Love RB1
15:10 - RB Landing Spots
17:22 - Commanders RB Needs
18:36 - Chiefs Draft Fits
19:44 - RB Combine Winners
20:39 - Nick Singleton Injury
21:05 - Late Round Darts
21:11 - Adam Randall Sleeper
24:20 - Fantasy Rookie Strategy
27:08 - Best Ball Drafts
31:16 - Early Best Ball
35:42 - Rookie Draft Philosophy
39:58 - Free Agency RBs
43:12 - Fantasy Draft Advice
46:48 - Show Wrap

#nfldraft #nflbetting #stephiesmalls

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JMark and Miranda return to cover major NFL news, including trades of David Montgomery to the Texans, Trent McDuffie to the Rams, and DJ Moore to the Bills, plus key re-signings, franchise tags, releases (including Stefon Diggs, Aaron Jones, Marshon Lattimore, and Kyler Murray), and rumors involving Justin Fields, AJ Brown, Deebo Samuel, and Vikings cap issues. They also discuss Bears-related impacts like Drew Dalman’s retirement and potential roster needs.

The duo reviews UFL rule changes such as no punts past midfield, 4-point long field goals, and a tush-push ban.

And of course, Old-Fashioned Football talks whiskey. This week they're drinking Keeper’s Heart American Pot Still in an old-fashioned. They score the bottle, cocktail, nose, and taste. Jmark and Mir also share highlights from a Valentine’s trip and an old-fashioned flight at O’Shaughnessy Distilling.

00:00 - Intro
05:59 - Kelce Free Agency Talk
08:04 - Big Trades Montgomery Texans
11:59 - Chiefs Deal McDuffie Rams
13:07 - Bears Shock DJ Moore Trade
14:52 - Franchise Tags and Resignings
20:33 - Released Players Rundown
23:44 - Kyler Murray Market Impact
26:01 - Rumors on Fields, Deebo, and AJ Brown
33:11 - Top Free Agents List
34:15 - Cap Space Winners Losers
36:27 - UFL NEW RULES
40:51 - UFL Championship Odds
42:19 - Valentines Distillery Visit at Keeper's Heart
44:04 - Old Fashioned Flight
46:03 - Smoked Maple Mixup
50:52 - Pot Still Explained
51:42 - Keeper's Heart American Pot Still Scoring
54:15 - Nose And Tasting Notes

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The NFL Win Totals are officially out and Stephie Smalls is wasting no time attacking the board. CJ Sullivan (Bottom Line Bombs, SGPN) joins the show to break down next season’s numbers before free agency, the draft, and the schedule release shake everything up.

They start at the bottom of the board in the 4.5 win tier, where CJ locks in Cardinals over 4.5 as an early position, expecting that number to rise once offseason optimism kicks in. From there, they move through the 5.5 and 6.5 ranges, debating teams like the Jets, Raiders, Titans, and Browns. CJ makes a strong case for Browns under, pointing to concerns with the roster and offensive line issues heading into the year.

Stephie shows love to Carolina over 6.5, banking on Bryce Young’s development and a manageable division. They also dig into mid-tier teams with tricky numbers and discuss how market perception can create early value before the public jumps in.

As they climb higher up the board, they break down playoff hopefuls, division contenders, and potential regression candidates. The conversation covers strategy, timing, and how to approach futures before major roster moves are finalized.

After the win total breakdown, Producer Ryan joins for Extra Holes with the weekly funny lists and announcements about new offseason segments, including Ask Smalls Anything, where fans can leave voicemails for future Spotify exclusives.

If you’re betting NFL futures, this is your early roadmap.

0:00 - Intro

0:50 - Welcome CJ Sullivan on

2:33 - Explaining win totals approach

5:34 - Cardinals early over bet

8:09 - Jets Raiders debate begins

10:20 - Panthers optimism discussion starts

11:18 - Browns Titans under conversation

13:45 - Offensive line concerns Cleveland

15:33 - Falcons Saints Giants breakdown

18:10 - Mid tier regression candidates

22:05 - Playoff hopefuls ceiling talk

26:40 - Division futures strategy segment

31:15 - Timing market movement angles

36:50 - Producer Ryan joins

39:30 - Extra Holes funny lists

44:10 - Announcing offseason show schedule

47:25 - Ask Smalls Anything launch

50:00 - Final thoughts futures recap

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Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA)

21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800 BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI)

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