Flying through the Volaris thesis with Antipodes' Phillip Namara
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Phil Namara of Antipodes discusses Volaris (VLRS), a Mexican low-cost airline with significant domestic exposure and cross-border routes into the U.S. Phil outlines the structural growth opportunity in Mexico’s aviation market, where air travel continues taking share from long-distance buses. The discussion examines industry consolidation, competitive dynamics, grounded aircraft from Pratt & Whitney engine issues, and the proposed merger between Volaris and Viva. They analyze regulatory considerations, potential synergies, and valuation scenarios, framing the investment debate around both standalone fundamentals and merger upside.
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[00:00:00] Introduction to Volaris and thesis
[00:03:37] Volaris business overview
[00:08:42] Airline industry economics explained
[00:12:58] U.S. basic economy impact
[00:19:08] European vs U.S. competition
[00:22:44] Mexico aviation growth story
[00:25:54] Volaris and Viva merger
[00:31:07] Competitive barriers in Mexico
[00:37:21] Regulatory approval considerations
[00:42:41] Pratt & Whitney engine grounding
[00:48:59] Merger valuation upside
[00:50:05] Downside if deal fails
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Production and editing by The Podcast Consultant - https://thepodcastconsultant.com/