US equity futures are weaker. European equity markets are lower in early trade, while most Asian markets ended in negative territory. No major developments on the US-China tariff front, though recent signs of de-escalation persist. USTR Greer is in South Korea for APEC meetings with ongoing negotiations across Asia. Meanwhile, April’s CPI surprise earlier this week reduced expectations for rate cuts, with the market now pricing in less than 50 bp of easing this year. The White House hinted a new trade deal could be announced upon Trump’s return, while Japan and South Korea deals are reportedly nearing completion. Attention also on geopolitical headlines including Iran’s openness to a nuclear deal with the US and Russia’s absence from the Ukraine peace talks in Istanbul.

Companies mentioned: Dick's Sporting Goods, Foot Locker, UnitedHealth Group, Nvidia

S&P futures are pointing to a flat open, up 0.1%. European equity markets are mostly weaker, with the STOXX 600 down 0.2%. Asian equities had a mixed session, with the Hang Seng rebounding sharply, while Japan and Australia saw losses. The U.S. Commerce Department announced a revision of AI chip export rules, rescinding regulations that were set to take effect in May due to concerns over stifling innovation, regulatory burdens, and strained diplomatic ties.

Companies Mentioned: Tesla, TXO Partners

S&P futures are pointing to a softer open, down (0.4%). European equity markets are showing modest gains in early trades, while Asian equities finished mostly higher, led by strong gains in Japan and Taiwan, while Hong Kong equities lagged amidst tempered stimulus hopes. Markets are digesting the U.S.-China tariff de-escalation announced Monday, with both nations implementing larger-than-expected tariff reductions following weekend talks in Geneva. However, uncertainties remain, such as whether China has committed to reducing business barriers or increasing purchase commitments.

Companies Mentioned: Google, Boeing, Landsea Homes

US equity futures are higher, with S&P up 2.5%. European equity markets are also pointing up. Asian markets go broadly higher. Greater China markets outperform on latest US-China trade developments. Nikkei was lagging, mild gains for ASX and Kospi sees moderate gains. Bond yields are back up with US 10-year 7 bps higher at 4.5%. Dollar sees big gains versus Japanese yen, euro, Swiss franc and sterling. Oil higher. Gold sharply lower. Industrial metals mixed. In a significant de-escalation of the US-China trade war, both countries announced that they will significantly reduce tariffs on the other. US will reduce tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% from 145%, for 90 days and China will reduce tariffs on US goods to 10% from 125%, also for 90 days. New duties reverse reciprocal and subsequent retaliatory tariffs imposed from 2-April, while US keeps in place 20% fentanyl tariff.

Companies Mentioned: Dow,Inc, MAG Silver, Banco Santander, NatWest Group

S&P futures are pointing to a slightly higher open. Asian equity markets are mixed with Japan as an outperformer and Taiwan the other notable gainer amid a rally among semiconductors. Mainland China was weaker. European markets are firmer. Overnight for US treasury yields, two year stays at 3.9% and ten year holds flat to 4.4%. Gold is firmer and WTI crude is up. Dollar is softer versus yen and euro, flat versus sterling and Aussie. Industrial metals are under pressure with iron ore sharply lower after China's steel association confirmed output curbs had begun. US may reduce China tariffs to below 60% as Trump sounds optimistic note on talks. More traction behind US-China de-escalation theme with President Trump on saying 145% tariffs on China will be coming down, predicting concessions from Beijing will help bring about a substantive outcome from trade negotiation

US equity futures gain with S&P up 0.7%. Asia equities have been trading higher with more positive developments in trade talks. European markets are also pointing higher. Overnight, treasury yields were higher, with the two year up 3.8% and ten year 4.3% . Dollar is stronger with biggest move versus Swiss franc and Japanese yen. Gold is down and WTI crude goes higher. Big trade development this week was the announcement of planned meeting between Treasury Secretary Bessent, USTR Greer and China Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland this week. Press sources noted Beijing's offer to address US concerns on fentanyl, which created opening for this week's talks. White House are moving to temper expectations surrounding the meeting with Bessent reiterating talks will not be at advanced stage, echoing comments he made on Fox News that talks will be more about de-escalation than a big trade deal