In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones from Eurizon SLJ Capital engages with Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, to discuss recent macroeconomic data and its implications for global markets. They explore disappointing economic metrics from China and Germany, rate cuts from the RBA and the Bank of Thailand, and a dovish stance from the Norges Bank. They also analyse forthcoming trade data from the Eurozone and Japan, the impact of US tariffs, and the potential repercussions for growth and inflation on a global scale. The conversation includes insights into the UK’s GDP and employment figures, along with the anticipation of fiscal tightening. Additionally, they touch upon US inflation data and its potential effect on the Federal Reserve's future actions. The episode concludes with a brief discussion on upcoming sports events, showcasing a well-rounded end to the week’s analysis.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 Global Economic Overview
02:09 UK Economic Insights
03:37 US Economic Data and Projections
05:19 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:15 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of "The Long and Short of the Week Ahead," Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the latest macroeconomic themes impacting global markets. The conversation covers the implications of new US tariffs, the outlook for US and global growth, and key economic data releases to watch in the coming week. The hosts also analyse recent monetary policy decisions from the Bank of England and preview upcoming events in China and Australia. The episode wraps up with a lighthearted look at the weekend's sports highlights and the hosts' "long and short" picks.

Key Topics:

• US tariffs: Impact on fiscal trajectory, inflation, and global growth
• Upcoming US economic data: CPI, PPI, retail sales
• China: CPI/PPI data, stimulus measures, and economic indicators
• Australia: RBA rate decision, labour market, and forward guidance
• UK: Bank of England's historic rate cut vote, fiscal challenges, and inflation outlook
• Sports roundup: Football, cricket, rugby, golf, and Formula 1

Episode Highlights:

• The complex effects of US tariffs on both domestic and global economies
• Whythe upcoming US inflation and retail data are under close scrutiny
• China's economic data as a barometer for global demand
• The Bank of England's unusual voting process and its implications for UK monetary policy
• Fiscal tightening in the UK and its impact on future rate decisions
• Weekend sports picks and a friendly exchange about barbecue invites

Notable Quotes:

• "The US high-frequency macroeconomic data is now under a more acute scrutiny."
• "We see the prospect of a 50 basis point cut in November as high and rising."
• "Optimistically, we're gonna be long goals in the championship this weekend. And sadly, I'm currently very short on barbecue invites."

Further Insights:
For more analysis and insights, visit eurizonsljcapital.com.

Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect those of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. This content is for professional investors only.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this week's episode of 'Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' presented by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss key macroeconomic themes affecting the UK and global markets. They review recent UK headline inflation data, the rising unemployment rate, and consumer confidence indicators. Globally, they focus on Japan's political situation and its potential impact on interest rates, as well as upcoming minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the European Central Bank's monetary policies. The episode also touches upon the light data calendar in the US, the intensifying trade negotiations, and an active earnings season.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 UK Economic Outlook
02:03 Global Economic Insights
03:41 US Economic Focus
04:42 Upcoming Earnings and Trade Negotiations
05:03 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:24 Conclusion and Sign-off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.