Episode 30 – When to Trust Doubt: Using Abductive Logic and Gut Feelings in a VUCA World Podcast Por arte de portada

Episode 30 – When to Trust Doubt: Using Abductive Logic and Gut Feelings in a VUCA World

Episode 30 – When to Trust Doubt: Using Abductive Logic and Gut Feelings in a VUCA World

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Host: Herb Stevenson

In this thought-provoking episode, Herb Stevenson brings his trilogy on doubt to a close by exploring how doubt can actually be a powerful internal compass—not just a paralyzing emotion. While previous episodes examined personal doubt and organizational doubt, this installment asks a crucial question: When should you listen to doubt?

Herb introduces the concept of abductive logic—a form of reasoning that blends intuition and logic to create meaning from uncertainty. He explains how this form of thinking is essential in today’s VUCA (Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, Ambiguous) world, where traditional problem-solving often falls short.

Through models like single-loop, double-loop, and triple-loop learning, this episode offers a new framework for approaching confusion, stuckness, and ambiguity—both personally and professionally.

  • The 3 types of doubt and how to approach each

  • What is abductive logic, and why is it critical now?

  • The difference between deductive, inductive, and abductive reasoning

  • How doubt can spark transformation instead of fear

  • Navigating life and leadership in a VUCA/FUBAR environment

  • A breakdown of single-loop, double-loop, and triple-loop learning

  • Why mindset shifts are essential for personal and organizational growth

  • How to ask the right questions when you're stuck

  • The role of intuition and insight in modern decision-making

“Doubt can be insidious when it undermines change… but in the right context, it becomes a gateway to insight.” – Herb Stevenson

“Abductive reasoning doesn’t eliminate doubt. It makes space for something new to emerge.”

  • Chris Argyris & Donald Schön – Theories on Organizational Learning

  • Charles Sanders Peirce – Father of Abductive Reasoning

  • VUCA & FUBAR models explained

  • Triple-loop learning framework

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