Episode 169: Mailbag—How To Know When A Prospect Change Is Real

Ben and Carlos answer listener questions about how we know when to re-adjust expectations for prospects and the difference in value between center fielders and shortstops.

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Time Stamps:

• (3:00) How do you know if a player is hitting a high percentile outcome vs. adjusting possible expectations?
• (8:00) Why it’s hard to deal with specific percentile projections
• (16:00) Why approach changes are incremental
• (18:00) Being skeptical of surface level results with no process changes
• (25:00) How much more do teams value shortstops vs. center fielders?

Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: [e-mail].

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Carlos's Newsletter: Fringe Average

Baseball America Website

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