Ep 28: Guelph real estate weekly sales update Dec 1-15 2025

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📉 Guelph Real Estate Market – Early December 2025 (Dec 1–15)

Market Trend & Overall Context

• December is traditionally the slowest month of the year — this year is no exception.
• Sales are trending down ~25% compared to the same period in 2024.
• If December finishes as currently trending, 2025 total unit sales may end about 6.4% lower than 2024.
• Guelph’s market is now seen as a weak balanced market, leaning toward a buyers’ market, based on months of inventory.
  Guelph Realtors Beth & Ryan Waller

Inventory Snapshot (as of mid-December)

• 426 total homes for sale — down slightly from late November (452).
• Condo/townhouse inventory: 233
• Detached/semi detached: 193
• Months of Inventory (MOI): ~3.1 — indicating more supply relative to demand than earlier in the year.
  (This is part of why the market feels more favorable to buyers.)
  Guelph Realtors Beth & Ryan Waller

December Unit Sales — Comparison to Prior Years

• Average daily sales in 2025: 4.7 per day
• December average sales over the past years:
  • 2020: 4.1/day
  • 2021: 3.5/day
  • 2022: 2.4/day
  • 2023: 2.1/day
  • 2024: 3.2/day
  • 2025 (current trend): 2.5/day
    This shows December 2025 is consistent with the typical slow end-of-year trend.
    Guelph Realtors Beth & Ryan Waller

🏘️ What Sold in Dec 1–15, 2025

🏢 Condos & Townhouses

• 11 sold units
• Price range: $390,000 → $782,000
• Average sale price: ~$516,000 (a notable drop from prior months)
• Selling dynamics:
  • 2 sold above ask
  • 0 sold at ask
  • 9 sold below ask
• Suggests softer pricing and potential oversupply, especially in stacked townhouse segment.
  Guelph Realtors Beth & Ryan Waller

🏡 Detached & Semi-Detached Homes

• 26 sold units
• Price range: $500,000 → $1,370,000
• Average sale price: ~$797,000 (prices have dipped compared with summer)
• Sale price performance:
  • 4 sold above ask (but mostly due to pricing strategy, not strong demand)
  • 1 at ask
  • 21 below ask
• There’s also an increase in cancelled or postponed listings as some sellers wait for spring.
  Guelph Realtors Beth & Ryan Waller

🧠 Big Picture Takeaways

✅ Sales volumes are slowing significantly as the year winds down.
✅ Prices are softer than earlier in the year — especially in condos.
✅ More inventory and slower demand are pushing the market slightly in buyers’ favour.
✅ Seasonal trends are strong — expect quiet winter sales with spring pickup potential.
Guelph Realtors Beth & Ryan Waller

You can always get touch with Beth and Ryan Waller on their website