Episodios

  • Good economic outlook constrained by high valuations
    Oct 6 2025

    Bob Doll reviews recent market gains and the drivers behind them: optimism about a temporary labor slowdown, expectations of Fed easing, and strong corporate profits—especially among mega-cap tech companies—while warning that equity valuations are already elevated.

    He recommends a cautious stance: prefer equities over bonds on a 6–12 month horizon but keep a neutral overall equity weight, modestly underweight U.S. exposure and overweight emerging markets, the euro area, and Japan, noting the main risk is a sudden rise in bond yields if inflation stays sticky.

    For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link October 6 or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com

    for additional insight and investment solutions.

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    9 m
  • Accommodative Central Banks Fuel Higher Prices
    Sep 29 2025

    Bob Doll reviews the latest market action, noting a weekly pullback despite strong rallies and top-performing sectors like energy and utilities.

    He argues that accommodative central banks and rising corporate profits have kept risk assets elevated, while stretched valuations, rising gold, and high AI stock multiples create vulnerabilities.

    Ten key takeaways cover GDP forecasts, labor market cracks, margins and valuation metrics, and the conditions that could reverse the trend — notably higher bond yields or disappointing economic and earnings growth.

    For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link September 29 or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com for additional insight and investment solutions.

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    8 m
  • Rate Cutting Resumes but Will Likely Be Limited
    Sep 22 2025

    Stocks extended gains after the Fed’s 25bp ‘risk-management’ rate cut, with major averages and sectors like tech and communication services hitting new highs. Economic growth has cooled but is not recessionary, while inflation remains stickier than policymakers would like.

    Monetary conditions are becoming more accommodative, supporting asset prices for now, but rich valuations and the prospect of a renewed rise in bond yields pose downside risks if inflation or policy expectations shift.

    For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberation click on the following link September 22 or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com for additional insight and investment solutions.

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    9 m
  • The Fed's Focus on the labor market (at the expense of inflation) paves the way for a rate cut
    Sep 15 2025

    In this episode Bob Doll reviews the latest market moves, noting a record-setting stock rally amid a dovish Fed poised to cut rates even as core inflation remains stubborn and hiring cools. He explains how tariffs, slower immigration-driven labor growth, and strong corporate profits are shaping a slow-growth, mildly inflationary backdrop.

    Listeners will learn why markets are upbeat despite valuation risks, what indicators to watch (inflation, employment, bond yields), and how monetary and fiscal policy may influence risk assets in the months ahead.

    For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link September 15 or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com for additional insight and investment solutions.

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    9 m
  • Earnings Are Supportive, But Rich Valuations Limit Potential
    Sep 8 2025

    Bob Doll reviews the week: mixed markets with the S&P up, weak August payrolls that boosted Treasury prices and Fed-cut expectations, and uneven sector performance driven by MAG-7 strength and sticky inflation.

    He concludes that earnings and supportive policy fuel a positive outlook, but stretched valuations, rising long-term yields, and persistent inflation make returns likely bumpy and the risk-reward less favorable.

    For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link Doll’s Deliberations - Crossmark Global Investments or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com for additional insight and investment solutions.

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    8 m
  • Valuation Concerns Are Never a Timing Tool
    Sep 2 2025

    Bob Doll reviews last week’s market moves, sector performance, and corporate earnings while highlighting growing tensions between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Investors remain focused on the prospect of lower short-term rates even as inflation and policy uncertainty rise.

    The episode argues that valuations are not a reliable market-timing tool and explains why ongoing Fed dovishness will sustain a liquidity-driven, risk-on environment for now, even as higher inflation may push long-term yields up (a bear steepening) and eventually pressure long-duration assets.

    Key takeaways include upward GDP revisions, strengthening earnings, threats to Fed independence, tariff-driven headwinds, low volatility, dollar pressure, and potential small-cap leadership if dovish policy continues.

    For copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link Doll’s Deliberations or go to Crossmarkglobal.com for more insight and investment solutions.

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    9 m
  • Threading the Needle Gets Tougher
    Aug 25 2025

    This episode reviews last week’s market action where the S&P 500 finished slightly higher and sector leadership was led by energy, real estate, and financials while tech lagged.

    Bob Doll explains why stretched MegaCap valuations, ample liquidity, and rising hopes for Fed rate cuts have driven a risk-on rally — but warns the backdrop is fragile: markets must ‘‘thread the needle’’ between weakening corporate earnings and a potential rise in long-term bond yields.

    Key takeaways include Powell’s dovish tone boosting rate-cut odds, slowing retail and housing data, easing wage growth, compressed volatility, and concentrated market gains — concluding that risk-on sentiment may persist until earnings or yields shift materially.

    For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link Doll’s Deliberations or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com for additional insight or investment solutions.

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    9 m
  • Markets Priced for Falling Inflation — We're Skeptical
    Aug 17 2025

    Bob Doll reviews last week’s market action: stocks rose near record highs amid strong earnings and expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts, while small caps and select sectors led gains.

    He cautions that inflation metrics remain above the Fed’s 2% target and that tariffs, fiscal stimulus, and concentrated market leadership create upside inflation and policy risks that could reverse current complacency.

    For a copy of this week's Doll's Deliberations click on the following link August 18 or go to www.crossmarkglobal.com for additional insight and investment solutions.

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    9 m