Episodios

  • Rick Rule: What I’m Buying When Commodities Go On Sale
    Apr 3 2026
    Stijn Schmitz welcomes Rick Rule to the show. Rick Rule is Investor, Speculator, Founder & CEO of Rule Investment Media. In this comprehensive interview, Rule discusses several critical economic and investment insights, focusing on potential risks and opportunities in the current global landscape. Rule emphasizes the potential for a liquidity squeeze and credit crisis, advising investors to maintain liquidity and be prepared for potential market downturns. He highlights the ongoing trend of resource nationalism and geopolitical tensions, which are reshaping global energy and commodity markets. Specifically, he sees significant opportunities in uranium and nuclear energy, noting that countries like Japan are rapidly reconsidering nuclear power as a reliable, low-carbon energy source. Regarding investment strategies, Rule critiques retail investors' common mistakes, including insufficient research, following outdated recommendations, and lacking patience with long-term investment theses. He advocates for thorough due diligence, understanding company valuations, and being psychologically prepared for market volatility. Rule is particularly critical of proposed wealth taxes, arguing that such policies punish productivity and would not meaningfully address government debt. He points out that the top 1% of taxpayers already pay 42% of applicable taxes and that confiscating billionaires' wealth would only fund government spending for a few years. In the resources sector, Rule sees potential for significant mergers and acquisitions in the next five years, particularly in gold equities. He recommends companies like Cameco in the nuclear sector and suggests investors focus on strategic, well-managed companies with clear investment theses. Rule also warns about risks in high-yield ETFs, describing potential credit contagion scenarios that could create significant market disruptions. Throughout the interview, he emphasizes the importance of understanding underlying assets, being contrarian, and maintaining a long-term perspective in investment strategies. Ultimately, Rule encourages investors to stay informed, maintain liquidity, and be prepared to take advantage of market opportunities when they arise.
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    57 m
  • Chase Taylor: Policy Disasters and Miscalculations – The Options for Ending the War?
    Apr 2 2026
    Chase Taylor, a Global Macro Strategist and Editor at Pinecone Macro, joined Tom Bodrovics on the Confident Investor podcast to discuss the geopolitical implications of the ongoing war and its impact on global markets. Taylor, with a background in geospatial intelligence and a deep interest in history and geopolitics, emphasized the importance of asking the right questions rather than seeking immediate answers in the midst of conflict. Taylor highlighted the significant delta between public narratives and the reality on the ground, noting that many decision-makers underestimated Iran's capabilities. He discussed the strategic miscalculations by the US and Israel, which have led to a situation where Iran holds considerable leverage, both operationally and economically. Taylor predicted that the US may have to accept unfavorable terms to exit the conflict, given Iran's escalation dominance and economic leverage. The conversation touched on the potential domestic risks in the US from Iran, with Taylor suggesting that while direct military attacks are unlikely, there could be retaliatory actions against US assets in the region. He also delved into the downstream effects of the conflict, including disruptions in oil and gas supplies, particularly from Qatar, which supplies 20% of the world's LNG. Taylor estimated that it could take up to six months for some LNG facilities to resume operations and up to three years for a full recovery. The discussion also covered the potential return to coal usage and the acceleration of green energy transitions in response to supply disruptions. Taylor noted that countries heavily invested in renewables, like solar, would be better positioned to weather the storm. He also highlighted the potential for increased resource nationalism and the complexities of global interdependencies, using the example of a pencil to illustrate how interconnected global supply chains are. Taylor concluded by discussing investment opportunities in commodities like sugar and cocoa, which are likely to be affected by fertilizer shortages and climate events like El Niño. He also mentioned the potential for gold to act as a financial safety net during times of crisis. Overall, Taylor's insights provided a nuanced view of the geopolitical landscape and its implications for investors.
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    1 h y 5 m
  • Francis Hunt: Global Debt System is Crashing, Gold and Silver are the Only Assets to Own
    Mar 26 2026
    During a recent podcast, host Tom Bodrovics and guest Francis Hunt, a renowned trader and analyst, delved into the current economic landscape, focusing on the intersection of energy, inflation, and debt. Hunt emphasized that the ongoing conflicts and disruptions in energy infrastructure, particularly in the Middle East and Russia, are driving a broader inflation story. He argued that the world is experiencing an extreme version of stagflation, characterized by economic stagnation and high inflation, which erodes household purchasing power. This scenario is exacerbated by excessive debt and the need for central banks to manage the debasement of fiat currencies. Hunt discussed the historical context of stagflation, comparing the current situation to the 1970s when OPEC's actions pushed up oil prices, leading to a similar economic environment. He highlighted that the recent explosions and disruptions in energy infrastructure are not isolated incidents but part of a larger strategy to engineer inflation and manage debt. This strategy involves manipulating commodity prices, particularly oil, to control the cost of goods and services, ultimately affecting global economies. The discussion also touched on the role of digital price tags in supermarkets, which allow for real-time price adjustments, reflecting the immediate impact of inflation on consumer goods. Hunt warned that this technology could lead to sudden and significant price increases, further straining household budgets. He also mentioned the potential for shortages in food and other essential commodities due to disruptions in global supply chains, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and energy price volatility. Hunt criticized the mainstream media and financial institutions for misrepresenting economic data, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unemployment rates, to paint a rosier picture of the economy. He argued that these misleading narratives are part of a broader effort to control the narrative and maintain public trust in financial systems. He also highlighted the potential for social unrest and economic instability as a result of the current economic policies, warning that the world is on the brink of a global depression. The conversation also covered the implications of the current economic environment for different countries, with a focus on Japan and the United States. Hunt argued that Japan, despite its high debt levels, is in a better position than the United States due to its lower energy dependence and more stable economic policies. He also discussed the potential for a reset of the global financial system, which could involve a shift away from fiat currencies towards more stable assets like gold. In conclusion, Hunt emphasized the importance of preserving wealth and maintaining a high standard of living in the face of economic uncertainty. He advised listeners to focus on self-reliance, community building, and personal freedom, while also being prepared for potential social unrest and economic instability. He ended the conversation on a positive note, encouraging listeners to live fulfilling lives and pursue their passions, regardless of the economic challenges they may face.
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    1 h y 3 m
  • Don Durrett: 2026 is the Last Year of American Greatness Which Brings a New Gold All-Time High
    Mar 27 2026
    During the podcast, host Tom Bodrovics and guest Don Durrett, an author, investor, and founder of Goldstockdata.com, discussed the current state of the metals and mining markets, with a particular focus on gold and silver. Durrett emphasized his strategy of buying during market dips, which he has applied successfully in recent months. He noted that gold experienced a significant correction, dropping from $5,600 to around $4,100, and has since rebounded to nearly $4,600. Durrett attributed this volatility to the geopolitical tensions and the U.S. economy's struggles, including high debt levels and inflation. Durrett expressed his belief that the U.S. economy is on a declining trajectory, heavily reliant on foreign investment, and heading towards a recession. He predicted that gold and silver prices will rise significantly due to the U.S. government's potential inability to service its debt and the fragility of the bond market. He set a target of $7,000 for gold and $200 for silver within the next 24 to 36 months, citing the unsustainable debt levels and economic management practices as key drivers. The conversation also touched on the potential impacts of an energy crisis, with Durrett noting that while higher oil prices pose risks to gold mining operations, the industry has margins that can withstand increases up to a certain point. He also discussed the potential for a digital currency reset, which could devalue the U.S. dollar and lead to a quasi-default on U.S. debt. Durrett highlighted the importance of monitoring the geopolitical situation, particularly the tensions in the Middle East, which could impact oil prices and global economies. He expressed pessimism about the likelihood of a swift resolution to the conflicts and the potential for Iran to gain leverage over oil prices. Despite these challenges, Durrett remains bullish on gold and silver, expecting new all-time highs by the end of June and viewing any corrections as buying opportunities.
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    45 m
  • Adrian Day: The Next Leg of the Gold Market Will be Explosive in the Miners
    Mar 19 2026
    Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management and Manager of EuroPacific Gold Fund, shared his insights on the mining industry and gold market during a podcast with host Tom Bodrovics. Day attended the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) conference, noting an initial positive sentiment among investors, particularly junior companies, although this declined as gold did not respond as expected to geopolitical events like the bombing in Iran. Day explained that gold tends to move ahead of such events but then drops in the immediate aftermath due to various factors, including the strength of the U.S. dollar and interest rates. Day expressed a bullish outlook on gold for the next six to twelve months, citing persistent inflation, fiscal deficits, and central bank policies as driving factors. He also highlighted the significant buying of gold by central banks and Tether, a stablecoin organization, which is price-agnostic and buys gold to back its stablecoin. Day noted that individual investors in the U.S. are largely absent from the gold market, and institutional capital has not yet significantly driven the market. Day discussed the U.S. stock market's complacency and the role of 401(k) plans in maintaining a steady flow of money into the market. He also touched on the disconnect between global and regional gold and oil prices, attributing this to liquidity crunches and regional supply issues. Regarding the broader commodity market, Day sees value in other commodities like copper, oil, and agricultural products, which have lagged behind gold and silver. He also noted that foreign markets are likely to outperform the U.S. market in the coming years, with good valuations in the UK, Hong Kong, and Brazil. Day predicted a stagnationary environment for commodities, with gold and oil potentially being top performers. He also discussed the Fed's likely response to current economic conditions, expecting rate cuts but not as dramatic as some anticipate, and a continuation of quantitative easing. Looking ahead, Day believes the gold market will remain strong and that the U.S. will lose its dominant reserve currency status within the next decade, transitioning into a bipolar world with different spheres of influence. He also mentioned the potential for a final farewell tour by the Rolling Stones in ten years, with even more expensive tickets.
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    1 h y 1 m
  • Lawrence Lepard: War Means Much Higher Inflation and $15,000 Gold
    Mar 18 2026
    During a podcast with Tom Bodrovics, Lawrence Lepard, Founder and Managing Partner of Equity Management Associates, discussed the complex economic and geopolitical landscape, focusing on the impact of the recent war and its potential consequences. Lepard highlighted several key indicators to monitor, including the U.S. 10-year yield, gold, Bitcoin, and the price of oil, which he believes are crucial for understanding market dynamics. Lepard expressed surprise that financial markets have held up relatively well despite significant risks, suggesting potential market manipulation by the federal government to maintain stability. He predicted that the war could lead to a recession and a rollover in the stock market, although he believes the market might be artificially supported. He also discussed the potential for increased inflation due to higher energy costs and supply chain disruptions, particularly from the Strait of Hormuz, which could impact various commodities and goods. Lepard emphasized the importance of holding assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin, which he views as safe havens in an environment of potential currency debasement. He argued that the current monetary system is unsustainable and that a return to a sound money standard is necessary to prevent further economic and social issues. Lepard also touched on the private credit bubble, comparing it to the housing crisis of 2008, and warned that the unwinding of this bubble could have significant repercussions for the financial system. Throughout the discussion, Lepard stressed the need for investors to stay informed and adaptable, as the economic environment is likely to remain volatile. He predicted that the next leg of the gold and silver bull market is imminent, with silver potentially offering more asymmetric upside due to its industrial uses and lower stock levels. Lepard also highlighted the potential of Bitcoin, particularly in geopolitically unstable regions, as a portable and secure store of value.
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    56 m
  • Lyn Alden: The War & Sovereign Debt-Crisis Loop that the US has Now Entered
    Mar 13 2026
    In a podcast hosted by Tom Bodrovics, Lyn Alden, the founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, discusses the economic implications of recent geopolitical events, particularly the Iran war, and its impact on the U.S. economy and financial markets. Alden emphasizes that fiscal dominance and sovereign debt crises often coincide with periods of war, complicating the investment landscape. She maintains that her base case scenario for the Federal Reserve's balance sheet growth remains a "gradual print," where the Fed will end quantitative tightening and transition to a gradually rising balance sheet in line with normal GDP or bank deposit growth. Alden highlights that the war in Iran, while expensive, is not a game-changer for the U.S. economy in the short term. However, it adds variance and uncertainty to the gradual print scenario, pulling forward the risk of a more significant print if the conflict escalates. She notes that the Fed's primary concerns are disruptions in the interbank lending market and the Treasury market, both of which have shown minor stress but remain stable. The discussion also touches on the impact of higher energy prices on the economy and the housing market. Alden believes that a prolonged energy price spike could affect housing affordability and market sentiment but does not expect a housing market collapse in the near term. She also discusses the role of liquidity in financial markets and how assets like Bitcoin and gold can serve as proxies for global liquidity. Alden concludes by advising investors to expect elevated shocks and headlines due to the current geopolitical and economic environment. She recommends diversification, owning high-quality scarce assets, and embedding assumptions of chaos into investment models. She also mentions the potential for a multi-polar world with neutral reserve assets, like gold and Bitcoin, playing a more significant role in the global financial system.
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    54 m
  • Bob Coleman: What Is Holding Back The Silver Market?
    Mar 12 2026
    Bob Coleman, Founder and President of Idaho Armored Vault, discusses the evolution of the gold and silver industry with Tom Bodrovics. Over the past five to six years, the industry has shifted from a focus on mining and monetary metals to a more casino-like atmosphere, driven by high-frequency trading and hedge funds. This shift has led to increased volatility and the dominance of paper markets over physical metals. Coleman highlights the role of ETFs like SLV and GLD, which are used for investment, hedging, and speculation, and how options and futures markets influence price movements. He notes that the physical metal remains the bedrock of the industry, but the price action is often driven by derivative strategies rather than physical demand. Coleman also discusses the impact of high-frequency trading and algorithmic strategies on price movements, citing examples from October 2023 and January 2024. He explains how the dislocation of metal between exchanges and the tightening of borrowing rates can create volatility and affect the ability of market makers to create shares. Coleman raises concerns about the reliability of exchanges like the CME and LME, citing outages and the cancellation of trades, which can create uncertainty and reputational risk. He also discusses the role of margins in stabilizing or destabilizing markets and the potential for illiquidity to drive prices higher. Coleman advises investors to understand the fundamentals of the market, the market structure, and the risks associated with storing metals. He cautions against relying too heavily on AI and encourages critical thinking and diversification of knowledge sources. Coleman also touches on the potential impact of longer-dated calls on gold and the importance of understanding the strategies behind such trades. He concludes by emphasizing the need for due diligence and a healthy dose of skepticism in navigating the complex and volatile precious metals market.
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    55 m