Arnold Palmer Invitational Best Bets | PGA Tour Picks with Kenny Kim | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 206)
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The Stephie Smalls Show is back with a full breakdown of the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill, one of the biggest stops on the PGA Tour calendar. Stephie Smalls is joined by Kenny Kim from the Fantasy Golf Degenerates podcast to dive into their best bets, outright picks, DFS strategy, and betting angles for this week’s tournament.
Kenny shares his outright card and key targets for the week, including Rory McIlroy as a top win candidate, plus value looks such as Sepp Straka, Ludvig Åberg, and Nicolai Højgaard. Stephie also discusses her card and market angles, including top-20 bets like Jake Knapp Top 20 (+140) and a Jordan Spieth Top 20 sprinkle, while Kenny notes Matt Fitzpatrick as a strong course-history option in the placement markets. The conversation includes a quick look at golfers they’re cautious on—like Russell Henley—and why.
They also hit PGA DFS strategy for strong-field tournaments, including ownership leverage at the top of the pricing tier and why Xander Schauffele can profile as a sneaky “hustler” play when the field gravitates toward the obvious chalk.
Then Producer Ryan jumps in for Extra Holes, where things go delightfully off-course: a list of the worst ways to get broken up with after meeting their parents (including the nightmare scenario of a Venmo comment breakup), Stephie’s rant about modern marital status options, plus a rapid-fire rundown of her latest Amazon purchases (yes, including a “boob pillow” to prevent chest wrinkles). Stephie also plugs the new Ask Smalls Anything voicemail show dropping on Spotify.
0:00 - Intro
2:44 - Lowry collapse recap
3:31 - Bay Hill course fit
4:59 - Outrights start here
5:09 - Rory outright
5:56 - Straka outright
6:35 - Åberg outright
8:31 - Henley fade
9:40 - Scheffler discussion
10:03 - Scotty bet approach
10:42 - Højgaard outright
11:17 - Knapp top 20
12:13 - Fitzpatrick top 20
12:49 - Spieth top 20
15:06 - DFS strategy tips
16:15 - Commanders tangent
18:00 - Kenny plugs show
20:34 - Extra Holes intro
20:37 - Tech issues bit
21:27 - Ask Smalls Anything
22:20 - New glasses talk
22:45 - Tattoo reveal
22:54 - Spanish tattoo translation
24:44 - Tweet setup
25:11 - Marital status options
25:33 - Interlocutory explained
27:02 - Breakup list premise
27:24 - Love Actually breakup
27:31 - “Amazing, but…”
27:34 - Post-sex breakup
27:37 - Not in love
27:54 - Venmo breakup
27:58 - Venmo apology story
28:21 - Amazon orders start
29:10 - Walking yap lens
29:27 - Boob pillow
30:16 - Cellulite roller
30:28 - Hair scissors
30:53 - Cross-stitch hobby
31:18 - Crosswords hobby
32:21 - Thursday football teaser
#golfpodcast #golfbetting #stephiesmalls
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