Andrew Martinez on the Art of Forecasting
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Andrew Martinez is a former Treasure economist and currently is an assistant professor of economics at American University. In Andrew's first appearance on the show, he discusses his career as a forecaster, the current state of forecasting, the intersection of AI and forecasting, the role of the SEP and monetary policy surprises, his work with David on the NGDP Gap measure, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 13th, 2025
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Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:20 - Andrew's Career
00:08:36 - State of Forecasting
00:20:19 - AI and Forecasting
00:29:34 - The SEP and Monetary Policy Surprises
00:41:07 - Nominal GDP/Expectations Gap
00:54:56 - Outro