#73: Why Certainty Is Undermining Your Judgment

Most smart people reach for values when they're under a lot of pressure or stress.

It feels responsible. Grounded. Mature.

But under pressure, values often do the opposite of what they're meant to do. Instead of anchoring thinking, they shut it down. Instead of sharpening judgment, they end the inquiry. Certainty replaces contact with reality, and the relief that follows feels like clarity, even when it isn't.

This pattern didn't come from nowhere. You learned early that sounding sure keeps you safe. Speed earns trust. Confidence gets rewarded. That lesson helped you win, but it also trained your mind to prefer certainty over accuracy.

The cost shows up later.

Judgment narrows too early. Tradeoffs disappear. And when the first warning signs appear, most high achievers respond by pushing harder and acting faster, which deepens the problem instead of correcting it.

In this episode, I explain how this pattern forms, why it's especially common among smart, capable people, and how values can silently become a sedative for thinking. You'll learn how to tell whether your values are helping you see more clearly or helping discomfort go away, and what restores contact with reality when pressure is running the show.

Listen now.

Show Highlights Include:

• The strange and destructive way reaching for certainty too soon degrades your decision making (2:19)
• How "Premature Epistemic Closure" (a wicked pattern that affects thoughtful and responsible people) narrows your thinking and cuts off your judgement (3:51)
• Why your mind enters a zombie-like state when it's faced with uncertainty (5:54)
• The psychological reason your mind learns to conflate certainty with safety (and how this keeps you on alert and under pressure at all times) (8:49)
• What to do if you notice a tightening in your body, a sense of being on the hook, or the feeling that time is running out (These are all early warning signs that your values are replacing your thoughts) (11:24)
• How the very tools you've relied on to help you think morph into the very tools that shut down thinking completely (19:32)
• The "Clarity Trap Tragedy" effect that distorts your judgement and severs your ties to reality (and why slowing down, not speeding up, is the antidote) (23:30)
• The danger in choosing value under pressure that nobody ever talks about (25:49)

For more about David Tian, go here:

https://www.davidtianphd.com/about/

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