Donald Trump hasn’t been this unpopular since he incited an insurrection. But he’s still at least a bit more popular than an entity called The Democratic Party.

In this episode Matt and Brian discuss:

* Do Democrats deserve any credit for Donald Trump’s political woes?

* How should we square Democrats’ impressive performance in special and off-year elections with their underwhelming performance in the generic ballot?

* If Democrats change nothing between now and November, would they win big by default, or disappoint, leaving everyone wishing they’d undertaken a more serious rebranding?

Then, since nobody disagrees that Democrats have become toxically unpopular, we get at why? To what extent is it contemporaneous frustration with the weakness of the Democratic opposition, and to what extent is a longer-run disaffection with a party that’s moved left over the past couple decades. Have Democrats really changed stripes? Or are they right where they “should” be, given long-run liberal commitments to a robust welfare state and civil equality?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian argues Dems don’t necessarily need to sweat their generic ballot woes, but can only fix them by picking more fights with Donald Trump.

* Matt thinks Democrats’ uniform moves to the left since 2008-2012 are the culprit.

* Ta-Nehisi Coates on the counterproductive aspects of intersectional political rhetoric: “If you can extend the the temporality out just a little bit of the struggle I think it makes the mistakes not better, but understandable. It’s very, very hard to get any movement of humans to always act right, speak right, talk right. I really, really wish people read more about the civil rights movement deeply because they were fucking up all the time.”

Donald Trump seems to want out of the Iran war AND out of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown. But only if he can get out by being an even bigger asshole.

In this Matt and Brian discuss:

* Trump’s latest, inscrutable, and quite likely corrupt machinations to end his war of choice (or at least prosecute the war without throttling global oil supply);

* Signs that Republicans are catching more heat than Democrats for the DHS shutdown (and the ensuing long lines at airports);

* Whether it was wise or unnecessarily risk averse for Democrats to offer to fund TSA and other non-immigration components of DHS (to avoid blowback from weary travelers).

Then, does the fact that Democrats have maintained unity in this fight for the past 40 days redeem Chuck Schumer at all? (No.) If not, does it suggest that the Senate Democrats who lost confidence in him aren’t really that interested in fighting after all? Will this kind of fighting help Democrats improve their abysmal approval numbers and lagging generic-ballot numbers? Or are they simply unpopular because they’re out of step, policy-wise, with the electorate?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian argues that the real problem with Democrats’ policy agenda isn’t that it’s too far left, per se, but that it will, once again, crowd out the more pressing matters of democracy protection and accountability for fascism.

* Matt on the most perverse reason Trump hasn’t quite chickened out of the war.

* Perception of partisan ideology, by party ID.

Democrats are caught in a new and somewhat troubling fad, in which they promise working-class people extremely broad tax cuts, which, in practice, would make expanding the safety net all but impossible.

In this Matt and Brian discuss:

* The Oscars!

* What are these policies, where do they come from, and what would they mean, in practice, for other elements of the Democratic agenda?

* Is there tension between Revenuemaxxing™️ and Billionairemogging™️, and can it be resolved?

* Given all that will need to be rebuilt post-Trump, should Democrats embrace fiscal responsibility, or might there be some advantage to playing chicken with Republicans over the future of the American welfare state?

Then, Donald Trump seems pretty panicked about the consequences of his misbegotten Iran war. But not enough to chicken out. At least not yet. Why is that? What are the peculiarities of the global energy market that might explain it. If he’s waiting for global oil futures to hit crisis levels, what kinds of developments in the war might send it there? And can we count on Democrats to oppose war funding?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on quagmires.

* Brian on how the Iran war exposes the shallowness of the U.S. elite.

* The Yale Budget Lab on the Van Hollen tax plan.

* Matt Zeitlen on the oil shock. (Spoiler: it’s bad.)

Depending on whether you believe Donald Trump, or Donald Trump, or Donald Trump, his war in Iran is “very complete” or “just beginning” or “both.”

In this Matt and Brian discuss:

* Has Trump finally set in motion a disaster he can’t contain?

* What does TACO mean when others have a say over the disposition of events?

* Are we doomed to reprisal attacks and a long-lasting energy crisis?

Then, what the hell is Jared Polis thinking?! The governor of Colorado is apparently planning to commute the sentence of Tina Peters, a former election official who tried to help Donald Trump overturn the 2020 election. Should Polis’s partisan and ideological allies try to stop him? How? Is he acting purely in response to Trump’s threat of reprisals? And to the extent he really thinks it’s a good idea, what are his obligations as a retiring elected official serving at a time when liberal democracy is under severe threat?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian asks why elites seem just as easily duped as MAGA nobodies.

* Matt’s prescient piece on the moral failure of liberal leaders to not act selfishly.

* Should Colorado Democrats impeach Jared Polis?

We’re at war with Iran all of a sudden, and nobody can say why, even the people who started the war. After closing the loop on the Texas Senate primary, Matt and Brian discuss:

* What was Donald Trump thinking?

* What consequences (regional, domestic, and global) should we be prepared for?

* What do we make of the Democratic response so far?

Then, because the war has no support and was not justified, the public is overwhelmingly opposed to it. This should tend to fracture Republicans and unite Democrats. But it raises some questions: Will the progressives who couldn’t bring themselves to admit that Kamala Harris was the more anti-war of the two candidates in 2024 link arms with Democrats? Will the Trump supporters (GOP propagandists, marginal voters) who claimed to support Trump on anti-war grounds change their thinking? How much intra-GOP strife is driven by antisemitism? And what’s the best way to make sense of the mixed messages and buck passing already leaking out of the administration?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on the failure of the anti-antisemitism movement.

* Brian argues Trump uses war abroad as an instrument of domestic politics, which he in turn views as civil war by other means.

* Our initial views on the state of the Talarico v. Crockett Senate primary.

You can’t say Donald Trump used his State of the Union address to distract from the Epstein files!

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* How boring the speech was;

* Whether boring is better for Trump, given his political predicament, than stuntiness;

* Should the Democrats who chose to attend be ashamed of themselves?

* All of the lies.

Then, are we finally going to have it out over whether Trump sexually assaulted any of the girls or women he met through Jeffrey Epstein? Will the Supreme Court decision vacating his tariffs be viewed as a turning point in his administration?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

They’re calling it the liddlest, tiniest government shutdown of all time. Democrats are demanding changes to policy that helps Trump’s immigration police get away with abuses. So they’ve shut down the Department of Homeland Security and only the Department of Homeland Security.

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* How we ended up with such a narrow shutdown, instead of one that spanned multiple cabinet departments;

* Whether this was a mistake or a savvy move;

* What success (or “success”) might look like.

Then, the Epstein Files story is stuck behind our collective unwillingness in the political class to state plainly what we’re after: Whether Donald Trump abused children, and what the consequences should be if he did? Why is the administration so allergic to accountability for non-Trump associates of Jeffrey Epstein? And, was Pam Bondi’s infamous performance before the House Judiciary Committee last week secretly brilliant?

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Brian reconceives of the Trump-2024 campaign as a conspiracy to conceal the Epstein Files.

* Halina Bennet on the ICE accountability gap.

* Roger Sollenberger on a credible allegation of child sexual abuse against Donald Trump.

Donald Trump has picked big fights on multiple fronts…and lost.

In this episode, Matt and Brian discuss:

* The narrow question of how Trump and MAGA lost the culture war fight they picked with Bad Bunny and the NFL.

* How we ended up in a situation a year ago, when it seemed that MAGA had, on balance, won the fight over the direction and influence of American culture.

* How the worm turned back, or whether it was all an illusion in the first place.

Then, Trump also lost the mid-decade redistricting fight he picked, thanks in large part to the fight-first approach embraced by Virginia’s new governor, Abigail Spanberger, who prioritized aggressive gerrymandering over legacy policy issues. Is her approach replicable? What would it mean to take it national? And what are some other things Dem can do (nationally and in battleground states) to keep Trump on the back foot through the midterms.

All that, plus the full Politix archive are available to paid subscribers—just upgrade your subscription and pipe full episodes directly to your favorite podcast app via your own private feed.

Further reading:

* Matt on the uncannily similar political backgrounds of Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris.

* Brian on how Trump lost the culture.

* Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl Half Time show.