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Philip E. Tetlock

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  • Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How can We Know? | Philip E. Tetlock

    Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How can We Know?

    • UNABRIDGED (9 hrs and 48 mins)
    • By Philip E. Tetlock
    • Narrated By Anthony Haden Salerno
    Overall
    (33)
    Performance
    (30)
    Story
    (30)

    The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This audiobook fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.

    Henry Carr says: "Highly engaging. Listen at 2x speed"
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