The Drunkard's Walk

How Randomness Rules Our Lives

By: Leonard Mlodinow

Narrated by: Sean Pratt

Length: 9 hrs and 19 mins

Publisher's summary

In this irreverent and illuminating audiobook, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, chance, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious causes, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.

The rise and fall of your favorite movie star or the most reviled CEO - in fact, all our destinies - reflects chance as much as planning and innate abilities. Even Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single season home-run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky.

How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars by one journal and called the worst wine of the decade by another? Wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.

Offering listeners not only a tour of randomness, chance and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man afresh from a night at a bar.

©2008 Leonard Mlodinow (P)2008 Gildan Media Corp

Critic reviews

"A wonderful guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives." (Stephen Hawking)
"If you're strong enough to have some of your favorite assumptions challenged, please listen to The Drunkard's Walk....a history, explanation, and exaltation of probability theory....The results are mind-bending." ( Fortune)

Outstanding

Excellent book. Even without a formula, easy going and captive. Statistics doesn't need to be tough

Needed insights into probability and chance

I purchased this book for its insights into my profession as an asset Mgr. It is even more useful as a way of evaluating life and life outcomes. Both intellectually thoughtful and hopeful. I’ve shared many of the insights with my children.

Not what you'd expect

The title is a bit misleading. At least 90% of the book are just an introduction to basic statistics. It's well written and nicely explained, but if you've ever taken a statistics class youll know almost all of the books content.

Understanding the Crucial Role of Chance

Great scientists over the centuries have, brick by brick, built a wall of principles. Many of these principles are not what the human mind and heart want to think. But the principles are true whether we accept them or not.
This book is an invitation to give up some obvious and appealing beliefs. Not easy! But by letting go, we are freed. Freed from a lifetime of hitting one's head against the wall.
Thereafter, we can use the wall--building what we choose. Not easy but absolutely worth it.
I loved that the science was made very accessible but telling stories. The stories of the great minds who found the bricks of discovery. The stories of how they built the wall. Stories of how the principles can be used not only to understand life, but also to make life's journey better.
It really feels good to stop hitting one's head against the wall.
One of the builders was Albert Einstein. Did you know he worked on this wall?
If you have read and enjoyed behavioral economics, you'll enjoy this book. If you like Dan Arielle, or Daniel Kahnaman, you will recognize parts of this wall they built.

This book is an intro to statistics.

Any additional comments?

The Drunkard's Walk follows the basic outline for any statistics course from the basic theory of sample spaces to the application of probability distributions. Despite that description, it isn't dry or difficult to follow if you've got no mathematical background. The author uses practical, easy to follow examples rather than formulas and theoretical discussion to illustrate some basic concepts and he never throws around unnecessary jargon. He also does a very good job of tying each new concept together with previous chapters and even gives a bit of history here and there. All in all, I found the book interesting enough to be engaging and informative enough that I'd recommend it to anyone who is interested in learning or reviewing some basic concepts used in statistics.

Just a side note, I realized after finishing this book, that I would have really benefited from listening to it either before or while taking my first statistics for class. Most math textbooks are focused on a few general example problems followed by a bunch of practice problems and sometimes the examples are too brief or too simple to really illustrate the underlying concepts. This book would have been a great supplement to that.

Sedative effect while driving :-(

Would you try another book from Leonard Mlodinow and/or Sean Pratt?

No

If you’ve listened to books by Leonard Mlodinow before, how does this one compare?

N/A

Which scene was your favorite?

N/A

Do you think The Drunkard's Walk needs a follow-up book? Why or why not?

No

Any additional comments?

This book is not good audible material. Probabilities and statistics are not good material to listen to while driving.

Moderately Intoxicating

Any additional comments?

Tour of history and essential problems of statistics, doesn't provide much in the way of real world guidance other that to remind one of how fallible we are as a species. That made it sound boring, which it is not. The telling of history is entertaining, and the problems discussed should astonish someone who does not has extensive training in statistics or psychology (like me!).

A book that helps to understands your chances

A life without randomness does not exist. We could believe in faith or in sincronicity, but in both cases, it still difficult to understand so many unexpected events on one’s life….to enjoy the uncertainty with an open hard an positive perspective, think about the small chance that allowed you to find this book. Enjoy randomness and increase your chances!

Is God really on your side?

An engaging and useful look at randomness. A good education on the history of the study of probability.

One important takeaway is that as humans we can deceive ourselves -- we often think we are experiencing a pattern when in fact we are experiencing a random event that had to happen to somebody or was bound to happen to us sometime or other.

As I sometimes say, When all the lights are green it's easy to think God is on your side.

Kept me interested

Very informative, and well worth the time to listen