The rise and fall of your favorite movie star or the most reviled CEO - in fact, all our destinies - reflects chance as much as planning and innate abilities. Even Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single season home-run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky.
How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars by one journal and called the worst wine of the decade by another? Wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.
Offering listeners not only a tour of randomness, chance and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man afresh from a night at a bar.
©2008 Leonard Mlodinow; (P)2008 Gildan Media Corp
"A wonderful guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives." (Stephen Hawking)
"If you're strong enough to have some of your favorite assumptions challenged, please listen to The Drunkard's Walk....a history, explanation, and exaltation of probability theory....The results are mind-bending." (Fortune)
I can not make "heads or tails" out of this story. Statistical analysis, is at best, a complex subject and rarely found to be interesting by most people. Randomness, as it seems to apply to human life, is a complex and difficult topic to explain. My hope that the author had created a "Dummies" version to explain the pairing of randomness and statistical analysis in human life has been dashed. I will not be trying yet again, for a fourth time, to figure out what the author is trying to say. I am glad I did not pay full price for this audiobook.
I listen to podcasts and audiobooks at triple speed all the time, but I had a tough time listening to this book. This is especially true when the author cites numbers, and there's lots of them. I'll take it as a good sign that I had some trouble because I must have been engaging my brain while the author speaks, so I miss some things he say.
If you listen at triple speed, be prepared to either listen to it again, or just sit relatively still. It was hard to multitask.
A good book overall though.
Insightful, amusing, evocative.
The simple and yet unforgiving manner in which the author debunks all our popular assumptions and misconceptions about chance and randomness.
His reading is honest and straight-forward, making the dry humor as understated as the author surely intended.
This is not a book to move you, in my opinion, but to get your head wrapped around the depth of incongruity between intuition and logic.
Read (or listen) to this book with an open mind, and be honest with yourself! You will be surprised at how many of these pitfalls you suffer from.
If you're at all interested in probability, statistics, and how they relate to everyday life, this book is a must-read. There's a lot of information that will make you look at day-to-day decisions, outcomes, and happenstance in an entirely different way.
Leonard Mlodinow is a brilliant man, and here he's delivered an important and complex subject in a very interesting, easy to understand, and compelling way. I found the explanations of theory to be very well thought-out, and the real-world examples to be at once familiar and thought-provoking.
I also think Sean Pratt's delivery was really well done; it took me a little while to get comfortable with (no particular reason), but once I was I found myself drawn into the narration and story completely.
Like many books I choose from audible.com, I know this is a book I would never have gotten though by reading it. But, it's a terrific listen. This is a thought-provoking book that will stay with you for a long time because it presents so many well-reasoned lessons on how we live our daily lives. The best thing about the book is its ultimate lesson - keep trying, the odds are with you. That's very encouraging. I highly recommend this audio book.
Avid non-fiction audiobook listener as I drive. Love to learn and be entertained at same time. Have read over 300 audio books in four years.
I learned so much interesting information from this book. Many of the accepted methods of proving and explaining how statistics and math play out are debunked using plain, easy to understand terms. I also appreciated the humor. Great read, and if you get audio books to both learn something and be entertained, as I do, this will be a great addition to your library.
To think that Randomness rules us is an awful way of thinking. I do not get up every morning because I am just waiting for what ever hits me. This is not for me...I couldn't get through the first audio and I really wish I could get my $ back. So sorry for the author to think this way. I guess it is just random though he became an author and just random that he thinks this way, well I believe I have a little more control over my destination...in fact I KNOW I have control of my destination, and this hope is the way I choose to live.
My suggestion is it is a waste of your $ and time, and may even be detrimental to some who suffer with negative thinking all ready. Get something positive and tell yourself to go after those things in life that bring you joy.
I purchased this book based on the synopsis, which seemed somewhat appealing.
I have to say listening to this book is hard work, I think you have to be drunk to really understand it.
Way to many numbers and random theories of probability to envisage audibly. I'm sure the book contains many illustrations to clearly demonstrate the wall of numbers which pound the listeners ears. The narration is rather monotone which adds to the overall effect of leaving one with a hangover after listening for any length of time.
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