The rise and fall of your favorite movie star or the most reviled CEO - in fact, all our destinies - reflects chance as much as planning and innate abilities. Even Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single season home-run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky.
How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars by one journal and called the worst wine of the decade by another? Wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.
Offering listeners not only a tour of randomness, chance and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man afresh from a night at a bar.
©2008 Leonard Mlodinow; (P)2008 Gildan Media Corp
"A wonderful guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives." (Stephen Hawking)
"If you're strong enough to have some of your favorite assumptions challenged, please listen to The Drunkard's Walk....a history, explanation, and exaltation of probability theory....The results are mind-bending." (Fortune)
I usually listen at 1.5x. I thought 2x speed would be too fast. This book is the one to ramp up the speed with. LOL. Sean Pratt is so droning. 2x speed is essential here! Not sure how Audible audition their narrators really.
Great book, well worth the read.
A nice mix of economics, history and basic probability. Great for non-mathematicians and bad gamblers.
The book goes slow at the beggining with a lot of history and ciations, but then it starts capturing you, showing more and more the subject and generating an insatiable hunger to find out what is next. A few phrases or sentences on it are to be remember like wisdom pills e.g. "regression to the mean" where just a simple theoric concept explained and revealed in deceptively simple basis turns out fascinating. Really recommend the book, very much worth hearing it!!!
This was a great, but basic guide to statistics. Not too technical, but technical enough to give you a sense that h.l. mencken was right in his derision of statistics. I wish I had a chance to read this book before taking statistics in college. With all of its real life examples, terms like standard deviation and chi square wouldn't have sounded so mysterious. Great narrator too.
This book is 90% a history and development of probability theory up to the 1970's. With a last chapter added which looks like a publishers rewrite, so poorly developed and disjoint from the main body of the book, it is as if someone copied and pasted the introduction to a separate book as the conclusion to this one. I had to reread the publishers review to see why I brought this, their spin on this book makes me wonder if the reviewer was so bored they only read the first and last chapters. If you are interested in this topic check out "Predictably Irrational".
A few interesting facts, but for the most part I didnt quite get what the writer was going for. wouldnt waste the time.
With "The Selfish Gene" and "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" in the seventies, up through this book and "The Invisible Gorilla" issued by audible, educated people are offered a chance to struggle with the counterintuitive randomness that rules us, and the brain wiring that cannot detect randomness without training. History is linear certainty. The future is only probability, and hence unknowable. Garth Brooks says to "...Thank God for Unanswered Prayers." I say to read/hear every book like this you can find in a struggle to grasp the nature of randomness, and our own inborn blindness to it.
For Don - check your download page, there should be part 2 there available for you to download (I actually wrote support about this and they were extremely helpful).
And yes, this book is quite interesting with lots of practical examples. Recommended.
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