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The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century | [George Friedman]

The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century

In The Next 100 Years, Friedman turns his eye on the future. Drawing on a profound understanding of history and geopolitical patterns dating back to the Roman Empire, he shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, experiencing the dawn of a new historical cycle.
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Publisher's Summary

George Friedman, founder of Stratfor, has become a leading expert in geopolitical forecasting, sought after for his thoughtful assessments of current trends and near-future events.

In The Next 100 Years, Friedman turns his eye on the future. Drawing on a profound understanding of history and geopolitical patterns dating back to the Roman Empire, he shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, experiencing the dawn of a new historical cycle.

©2009 George Friedman; (P)2009 Blackstone Audio, Inc.

What the Critics Say

"A unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling....Whether all of the visions in Friedman's crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment." (Publishers Weekly)

What Members Say

Average Customer Rating

3.8 (1007 )
5 star
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3.8 (488 )
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4.0 (483 )
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3 star
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2 star
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1 star
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Performance
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  •  
    Andrea Anchorage, AK, United States 07-16-12
    Andrea Anchorage, AK, United States 07-16-12 Member Since 2015
    HELPFUL VOTES
    27
    ratings
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    3
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    Story
    "Wishful thinking rife with the American Myth."
    This book wasn’t for you, but who do you think might enjoy it more?

    Flag-waving right-wing faux patriots in the vein of Sarah Palin


    What do you think your next listen will be?

    Something from JL Bourne or Larry Corea.


    What do you think the narrator could have done better?

    Not read this hogwash!


    If you could play editor, what scene or scenes would you have cut from The Next 100 Years?

    The story is told as though the USA is the same country it was in the 20th Century, and that it will still have the same relevance in the 21st Century world. The author completely ignores our rising poverty and illiteracy rates, the conversion of the middle class into the working poor, the decaying infrastructure, the rise of China and India, the loss of our technological edge, and the myriad of other crisises that are quickly removing America from superpower status. If a massive effort were undertaken today to reverse these trends-it would take decades to achieve. Not to mention that the political will to do so does not exist. Soon China will have bigger guns than us, and that will be the end of the only thing we currently lead the world in. The author is under the impression that the USA will own the 21st century, and writes from that mythical point of view. This book is absurd drivel, and I would have made him rewrite it!


    Any additional comments?

    I wish that I hadn't wasted a credit on this rubbish, and anyone expecting to get an educated idea of upcoming tech advances and future political landscapes shouldn't either!

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    J. Pang Earth 07-14-12
    J. Pang Earth 07-14-12 Member Since 2010

    Computational cognition, ethics, transhumanism, etc.

    ratings
    REVIEWS
    118
    20
    Overall
    Performance
    Story
    "Fun read: GF obviously enjoyed writing it"
    If you could sum up The Next 100 Years in three words, what would they be?

    Entertaining, insightful, inacurate


    What other book might you compare The Next 100 Years to and why?

    The next 10 years: same author: actually entirely different & also worth reading. I recommend Ray Kurzweil: both Singularity is Near & Age of Spiritual Machines.


    Which scene was your favorite?

    Space war w/ Japan... implausible, but fun. It simply will NOT happen, at least not as early as he stated. Not due to inability tho. I am glad such a credible person with such a credible audience would make such an audacious storyline. I am glad this piece of fiction was in there.


    What’s the most interesting tidbit you’ve picked up from this book?

    Lessons from history still relevant & driving forces today & tomorrow.


    Any additional comments?

    Friedman is in my top 5 favorite authors after this book.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Ivory 04-17-12
    Ivory 04-17-12
    ratings
    REVIEWS
    3
    3
    Overall
    Performance
    Story
    "Limited scope."
    What would have made The Next 100 Years better?

    The book would have been better if the author had been open to other (political and social) points of view and opposing factors at play in society. The author makes many assumptions and ignores other data that would affect the possible outcomes for his projections. For instance, most of his projections are based upon a decreasing reproduction rate in the 21st century; however, he never accounts for the anticipated Baby Boom "echo" that is projected.


    Would you ever listen to anything by George Friedman again?

    Probably not.


    Which scene was your favorite?

    I enjoyed some of the technology projections regarding robotics. I also enjoyed some of the comments regarding birth rate trends, both past and future; however, the author took this one thought way too far throughout the book.


    If you could play editor, what scene or scenes would you have cut from The Next 100 Years?

    I would cut all the "Star Wars" junk. and much of the slanted political and social crap. It took away from the credibility of the author. A couple of ideas that were presented early on in the book were so belabored throughout the book that listening became tedious. My comments as editor: "Less is More!"


    Any additional comments?

    The author's liberal-minded attitude toward persons with opposing political and social views was offensive. His comment that people with conservative points-of-view are not well educated displayed narrow-mindedness and down-right ignorance. Such comments cause one to question the validity of anything else the author has to say.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Al San Francisco, CA 08-06-11
    Al San Francisco, CA 08-06-11 Member Since 2011
    HELPFUL VOTES
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    "Too many guesses"

    This has some interesting parts as far as current world situation is concerned, however very soon the book goes into far out way ward forecasting with any possible reasonable logic. Too much guesses and predictions made on hunch of the author without any concrete evidence.

    1 of 2 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Dave Maddock Bellevue, WA United States 07-06-11
    Dave Maddock Bellevue, WA United States 07-06-11 Listener Since 2010
    HELPFUL VOTES
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    "Awesome"

    This is an awesome book. I strongly recommend it. It is very entertaining and very educational. The book is fascinating.

    0 of 1 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Mark C Australia 06-03-11
    Mark C Australia 06-03-11 Listener Since 2006
    HELPFUL VOTES
    4
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    "Entertaining, thought-provoking, but lopsided"

    t's an american-centric view of the world, with forecasts based on historical and geopolitical motivations. Very interesting perspectives, to be taken with a pinch of salt. Good book.

    1 of 2 people found this review helpful
  •  
    kathleen austin, TX, United States 02-25-11
    kathleen austin, TX, United States 02-25-11 Member Since 2014
    ratings
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    52
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    Overall
    "Not much back up"

    I know this book would be too long and little read with full explanations of the predictions but the star wars scerario at the end left me more unbelieving then impressed.
    It helps to have the book & maps to understand how he ties countrries and their reactions. You may not realize how large Poland is.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Sami Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates 02-08-11
    Sami Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates 02-08-11 Member Since 2010

    Addicted to audible. One the best things that happened to me

    HELPFUL VOTES
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    "It could get really boring!"

    I was so excited initially when I got this book. It started really strong with lots of insights that was useful and the way of thinking was rational and enjoyable. Eventually, the discussions started building up a scenario that felt like a fiction story and i believe defeated the purpose of the book. Also, the book tackled the next one hundred years from one angle and didn't discuss many concerns such as the environment or effect of technology on our lives.

    In a way, the book gave me a better prospective of life, but it could have been built up much better than this.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    J. Day Anoka, MN United States 01-19-11
    J. Day Anoka, MN United States 01-19-11 Member Since 2006

    Oclday

    HELPFUL VOTES
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    "BORING and BIASED"

    Not only is this uninteresting but it has a decided bias. If you want a Republican view of the next 100 years, read away. If you want a more balanced view, this book isn't for you.

    2 of 4 people found this review helpful
  •  
    John May Chapel Hill NC 03-08-10
    John May Chapel Hill NC 03-08-10 Member Since 2009
    HELPFUL VOTES
    7
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    "Great First Half"

    I found the first half of "The Next 100 Years" was mostly fascinating. In the second half, however, I felt Mr. Friedman became too carried away with his own fictional scenario. This required suspension of disbelief beyond my ability.

    In his summation, his dismissal of global warming as having any significant impact on the geopolitics of the future -- on the basis that birth rate trends and technology will solve the problem -- ignores the possibility that a tipping point may be reached too early in the 21st century for any reversal therefrom.

    7 of 14 people found this review helpful

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