In The Next 100 Years, Friedman turns his eye on the future. Drawing on a profound understanding of history and geopolitical patterns dating back to the Roman Empire, he shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, experiencing the dawn of a new historical cycle.
©2009 George Friedman; (P)2009 Blackstone Audio, Inc.
"A unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling....Whether all of the visions in Friedman's crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment." (Publishers Weekly)
This is an intermittently interesting extension of current events 100 years into the future. It was written in 2010, and I listened in mid-2014, and it has already begun to veer off the road. I fear that Friedman's projection of Russia's collapse in the 2020s is a bit of wishful thinking, and the lapse of China into irrelevancy in the 2030s is even more fanciful.
Nonetheless, he presents some interesting ways of thinking about current world events and geopolitics. However these ideas wear very thin after a short while, and his notions about space-based conflict in 2050 appear little more than Science Fantasy, given that none of the technology necessary appear to be under any kind of development.
One George Friedman is probably enough for me.
Book Guun Guun
Should have of his predictions come true, the world will be a drastically different place. I hope Friedman is wrong, very wrong.
The possibility that it all may come true.
Hughes brings a voice of believability that a reader wouldn't otherwise get if they were reading the book.
If we study history of the great civilizations that came before us, we can start seeing some parallels and commonalities between the ancients and where we are today as the greatest civilization of the last 100 years.
Friedman does a good job in helping us to get a glimpse of the next 100 years (decade by decade) as our country goes through rising inflation, gas/fuel shortages and prices hikes, population increases, immigration challenges, environmental issues and global climate changes. And those are just internal problems!!! Bleak? Yes and no. We have many technological advantages that our predecessors didn't have, but it’s up to us to identify and use them wisely.
Face it, in a world that is closing in on 10 billion people in our lifetimes, we’re going to all have to figure out how to get along and feed, house, employ, transport, educate and provide medical care on a global scale.
I liked this book a lot and will keep it as a reference for things to come in my lifetime and future generations to come.
Mother, Wife, Cultural Anthropologist, always a scholar and lover of books!
George Friedman doesn't pretend to know the future, he tracks the patterns and follows them on their most likely paths. His knowledge, and global perspective is insightful and he writes in a readable fashion, as if he is your favorite professor sitting across the table with a map and a pot of tea.
Take it for what it is...but it is entertaining.Overall a good story, it is a forecast of what could come after all . From a geopolitical standpoint, I think the first three quarters of the book are excellent and could very well be a glimpse in to the future based off of world history. The last section, I think he was reaching for the stars, literally.Entertaining read!
For over 1 year, I nibbled on this book. It's a difficult listen; in order to absorb the details, I listened to part two in small swabs.
While some may criticize the author's predictions, I enjoyed the geopolitical crystal ball...in small doses.
Considering the nature of the book I can't think of anything to improve the book.
Although the book brings some interesting points regarding the workings of the world in the past, and if we were trying to predict the future based on those principals 10 or 20 years ago I might be convinced, but these days it seems pretty clear that the web changes things.To make a long story short (and incidentally prevent myself from rambling) I think that the future is going to turn up very differently from what is written in this book, which presents a very conservative outlook assuming that things will never change.
I thoroughly enjoyed this book however, I was intrigued at the blind spots that emerge when viewing the future from such a US perspective. Living in Australia, I guess I see Asia, America and Europe in a very different way. Some assumptions about the people are not consistent with my reality and my knowledge and experience of these regions. Having said this, I was very impressed with the sheer depth of knowledge of George Friedman
Yes, because he gives logic and facts to back up his predictions. Whether I agree with his conclusions or not, I have to agree that they are plausible.
This one is my first
He read the book in a voice that sounded as though the author was speaking. Not overly emotional or bored sounding, but as though he believed what he was saying
No, I didn't see the book as trying to inspire action.
The book was not mainly about the technical advances of the next 100 years (although there was a little of that there), but was rather about the cyclical nature of political relationships and conflicts, and how they might play out over the next 100 years. In my opinion, the author gives too little importance to the technical advances, but sees these advances as simply adding a new dimension to the same political relationships that have been going on for hundreds of years.
The author believes that power struggles and wars will be our fate in the future just as in the past. I hope that he is wrong.
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