In The Next 100 Years, Friedman turns his eye on the future. Drawing on a profound understanding of history and geopolitical patterns dating back to the Roman Empire, he shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, experiencing the dawn of a new historical cycle.
©2009 George Friedman; (P)2009 Blackstone Audio, Inc.
"A unique combination of cold-eyed realism and boldly confident fortune-telling....Whether all of the visions in Friedman's crystal ball actually materialize, they certainly make for engrossing entertainment." (Publishers Weekly)
t's an american-centric view of the world, with forecasts based on historical and geopolitical motivations. Very interesting perspectives, to be taken with a pinch of salt. Good book.
Friedman was the founder of Statfor, a fact that he shys away from in this book. Sratfor gathers intelligence, through a geopolitical perspective, and then provides said intelligence for Fortune 500 companies, U.S. government, and private companies. So, don't feel like this is just another nutjob with a laptop and a world map. All in all, i feel like this is at least interesting, and stimulates the brain cells. I feel like, he may have a few of the details off, but he's on the right track. An amazing book, and eye-opening when so many of us are caught in the day to day news source from liberal media giants, like CNN, and conservative propagandists like Fox. Definately, a good choice.
Friedman, the brain behind STRATFOR, a private intelligence service, lays out the next century. This is geo-politics on a grand level. Russia waning, China in turmoil, Poland vs. Turkey, Japanese moon bases, and Mexico reclaiming Texas. It makes me look at today's headlines in a different fashion.
This was one of the few books that had a tremendous impact on my view of the World. Mr.Friedman clearly explained geopolitics and trends in past European and American history. I understand much better "war on terror" and reasons for war in Iraq and Afganistan and the balance of power. The ideas were logical and well supported. In my mind it "made sense". The true question is what can we do to prepare (and prosper) for those changes? How about part 2 Mr.Friedman?
This book is a good listen. I think the point of the book is beyond the predictions it espouses but rather the logic and geopolitical history that underpins his assertions. That said, he was pushing his luck by the end of the book with his "predictions" especially considering how quantum leaps in technology and "basic science" impacts society and culture (an issue only grazed on by the author).
I found it thorough and a good listen especially on Eastern European issues. Outside of North Africa he failed to discuss the rest of the continent. I find that to be a big oversight in the book given the history and role Africa has played (albeit not always voluntarily!) in global politics. So are readers to presume that the entire African subcontinent will not have any significant role in geopolitics in the next 100 years? He should have at least dedicated one chapter to Africa and its inter-relationships with the assertions he is making. That oversight leaves some holes in his strategic logic that diminishes the value in my mind. That said, it was worth a critical listening too. I will get a print copy when I'm book shopping too.
Friedman certainly knows his subject. As the founder of StratFor, he has access to incredible information from around the world, and years of experience piecing together how that information shapes the world we live in today. This book is the summation of that analysis extended to the next hundred years.
While one may not reach the same conclusions (e.g., China being less of a world leader than, say, Poland), you are sure to be challenged to think about his predictions...and perhaps alter your own! I was particularly taken by his discussion of the ascendancy of Mexico, having long thought that Mexico has unrealized potential (increasing education levels, for example).
I strongly recommend the book to anyone interested in what the next 30, 50 and 100 years may look like.
Excellent knowledge of his topic and exceptional understanding of geopolitics. If you are looking for an unbiased analysis of the facts and driving forces that shape the world, this is the book you need. Truely fantastic read.
Projecting the next hundred years is impossible of course. But this book makes very plausible predictions. Written in 2009 and read by me in 2015, I can see he got a the scarcity of fossil fuels wrong. We will have hundreds of year supply with fracking and even newer extraction technologies. But other predictions like the disappearance of Russia and China as major players geopolitically is unexpected. But it sounds plausible after reading the explanation in the book. The author nailed his prediction of Russia encroaching on Eastern Europe in 2014.
His was an interesting perspective on the future, the economic and social predictions seemed realistic, the predicted wars seemed a little far fetched but over all it was interesting and often times fun to listen to.
I feel smarter just for having listened to this! Your personal politics will not be challenged by this book, but you will still learn more than you thought possible about the future is the world. Definitely interesting for the period 2010-2040, which will affect most of us
"American-centric but interesting"
In this book Friedman lays out an interpretation of world history (mainly modern history), adds in some currently known facts and statistics and then extrapolates this model forward to describe the drivers for world events in the near future.
As Friedman admits, this is shamelessly, uncompromisingly and sometimes almost offensively pro-US -but (if you can) set this aside this there are a number of interesting conclusions drawn about the driving causes for key events in world history. These conclusions are then joined and scenarios for the future are constructed and presented in a concise and flowing manner.
I liked this book. While I might like to question his interpretation of some historical events and even though many individual facts, forecasts and conclusions were not new to me, Friedman finds patterns and extends them into the future in a logical and consistent manner which I have not seen elsewhere and I found thought provoking. I shall be looking for other similar books to add to my library.
Definately worth listening to.
"The next 100 years as it applies to the USA"
This book reminded me of those American war films where no other allies were involved in WW2 or mattered much. The writer presents statistics to forecast how the world during next 100 years will be dominating by the US even more than in the second half of the 20th century. Only two years after publication (2009) we see that as an unlikely scenario, due in part to the colossal US debts that threaten to engulf it. I was amazed the writer also seems to dismiss China as some kind of 'passing phase'........ Mmmmm I don't think so. In summary: written by an American purely for Americans presumably to cheer them up.
"Fun and thought provoking"
George Friedman provide the listener with his predictions on the course of international relations over the next hundred years. He begins by setting out the forces that he thinks shape world politics and then outlines how he expects events to progress. There is humor in this as well as serious ideas. Well worth reading, even if to define in your own mind, why you think he might be wrong.
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