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The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014-2019 | [Harry S. Dent, Jr.]

The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014-2019

Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-so-secret weapon: demographics. Studying the predictable things people do as they age is the ultimate tool for understanding trends. Dent shows that if you take the time to understand demographic data, using it to your advantage isn’t all that difficult. By following his suggestions, listeners will be able to find the upside to the downturn and learn how to survive and prosper during the most challenging years ahead.
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Publisher's Summary

Best-selling author and financial guru Harry Dent shows why we’re facing a "great deflation" after five years of desperate stimulus - and what to do about it now.

Throughout his long career as an economic forecaster, Harry Dent has relied on a not-so-secret weapon: demographics. Studying the predictable things people do as they age is the ultimate tool for understanding trends. For instance, Dent can tell a client exactly when people will spend the most on potato chips. And he can explain why our economy has risen and fallen with the peak spending of generations, and why we now face a growing demographic cliff with the accelerating retirement of the Baby Boomers around the world.

Dent predicted the impact of the Boomers hitting their highest growth in spending in the 1990s, when most economists saw the United States declining. And he anticipated the decline of Japan in the 1990s, when economists were proclaiming it would overtake the U.S. economy.

But now, Dent argues, the fundamental demographics have turned against the United States and will hit more countries ahead. Inflation rises when a larger than usual block of younger people enter the workforce, and it wanes when large numbers of older people retire, downsize their homes, and cut their spending. The mass retirement of the Boomers won’t just hold back inflation; it and massive debt deleveraging will actually cause deflation - weakening the economy the most from 2014 into 2019.

Dent explores the implications of his controversial predictions. He offers advice on retirement planning, health care, real estate, education, investing, and business strategies.

Dent shows that if you take the time to understand demographic data, using it to your advantage isn’t all that difficult. By following his suggestions, listeners will be able to find the upside to the downturn and learn how to survive and prosper during the most challenging years ahead.

©2014 Harry S. Dent, Jr. (P)2014 Brilliance Audio, all rights reserved.

What Members Say

Average Customer Rating

3.7 (88 )
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3.7 (78 )
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  •  
    G. House Sr. Sherborn, MA, United States 01-16-14
    G. House Sr. Sherborn, MA, United States 01-16-14 Member Since 2012

    I am an avid listener. I listen between 75-100 hours per month on my iPhone: 60% fiction to 40% non-fiction.

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    "Outstanding Information -- a must read"

    In the demographic Cliff, Dent make a reasoned, well supported argument for his predictions. The first third of the book is very slow because he spends a great deal of time convincing you of his solid record in past predictions -- of course they have worked out well or why would he write another book?

    That sarcasm aside, he makes a very convincing argument and it dovetails with other books like "The Next 100 years" and Freakonomics. I think this is a must read -- think it over, his argument does make common sense.

    12 of 13 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Lance Gloversville, NY, United States 03-06-14
    Lance Gloversville, NY, United States 03-06-14
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    "interesting, but questionable"
    Would you recommend this audiobook to a friend? If so, why?

    Yes, because it makes one think about the potential for future change.


    What did you like best about this story?

    Acknowledging that demographic and population level changes just have to have an economic effect.


    What does Harry S. Dent, Jr. bring to the story that you wouldn’t experience if you just read the book?

    His passion for the topic. Though, to be fair, I bought the audio book to use the two hours of commute each day more equitably than listening to Miley Cyrus screech at me.


    What insight do you think you’ll apply from The Demographic Cliff?

    I haven't decided yet. Even though I'm almost fifty, I'm just getting off the ground in my 401k. If Dent's prediction of a demographic cliff striking soon comes to fruition, I have plenty of time to capitalize on that downside.


    Any additional comments?

    Dent has an image problem. There's a lot of negative press out there about him and his predictions. He mentions Tony Robbins a lot too, who has his own image issues. A lot of people think these guys are, to a greater or lesser extent, snake oil salesmen. I think a more concerted effort should be made by Dent to reasonably talk down his critics; not, I hasten to add, in a negative way, but in a constructive prove-my-pont sort of way.

    3 of 3 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Carroll Alexandria, VA, United States 05-12-14
    Carroll Alexandria, VA, United States 05-12-14 Member Since 2010
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    "Well thought through!"

    Interesting to read / hear a well thought thru summary from a interesting statistician... I have 2 graduate degrees in economics & this is a great book!

    2 of 2 people found this review helpful
  •  
    K. B. Rollins 09-29-14
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    "Wow -- edge of my chair the entire time"
    Would you listen to The Demographic Cliff again? Why?

    Definitely, and probably will do so.


    Any additional comments?

    Clear thinking and talking. Easy to follow and digest. Hard to dismiss as important concepts that will affect my life, my investments, my future.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Russell Bernard Salt Lake City, Utah United States 08-06-14
    Russell Bernard Salt Lake City, Utah United States 08-06-14
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    "Who will carry on?"

    There is an old blues song about who will sing the blues when all the old masters are gone.
    Buddy Guy sings this song, I wonder if we are not in the same boat.
    Very good discussion about what cane happen when we start to adjust the population and what is not bought because there is no need for those kinds of products.
    I enjoyed the subject, having worked with youth all my life and seeing a shift in the number of youth that are living my area. evan when young families move in to my neighborhood.

    Food for thought.

    0 of 0 people found this review helpful
  •  
    Tom 02-22-14
    Tom 02-22-14 Member Since 2012
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    "Author should have stuck to what they know."
    Would you try another book from Harry S. Dent, Jr. and/or Harry S. Dent, Jr.?

    Author seems to struggle to fill the book. trying to explain how sunspots effect market cycles was enough for me


    What could Harry S. Dent, Jr. have done to make this a more enjoyable book for you?

    Stick to demographic research


    Which scene was your favorite?

    demographic effects on economic cycles


    If you could play editor, what scene or scenes would you have cut from The Demographic Cliff?

    things not in the favourite bit


    2 of 4 people found this review helpful
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