©2007 Nassim Nicholas Taleb; (P)2007 Recorded Books, LLC
"[Taleb] administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting." (Booklist)
"The hubris of predictions - and our perpetual surprise when the not-predicted happens - are themes of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's engaging new book....It concerns the occurrence of the improbable, the power of rare events and the author's lament that 'in spite of the empirical record we continue to project into the future as if we were good at it.'" (The New York Times)
This book presents some very interesting ideas: we are very poor at predicting events that happen because we base a lot on historical evidence. We don't look for those things that are completely unexpected because they are so far outside of our experience that we can't imagine they exist. Those events are what the author calls "Black Swans."
In spite of this interesting treatise, this book was incredibly difficult to get through. It is hard to imagine an author that is more pretentious, condescending, and pompous than Taleb. He is simultaneously egotistical and insecure. He revels in telling stories of how he is the smartest person in the room and everyone else is beneath him. It gets old quickly and made finishing the book a chore.
I felt David Chandler did a great job of telling the story in the tone that I would imagine Taleb would have were he reading it himself. He conveys a feeling of superiority that seems to come through in the author's writing style. Very well done.
I am glad I listened to this book because it was cited by a couple other authors whose work I enjoyed (Apparently this book is somewhat influential). But while the central ideas and themes were very interesting, the presentation frequently was not. The author does not have Malcolm Gladwell's gift for writing, and sometimes comes across as trying too hard to be like him.
This is one of the most insightful book I have read / listened to on business risk, innovation and strategy. I would reccomend it to anyone exposed to economic, social or political networks.Your investment in this book will return Black Swan positive effects in your life.
Mediocrastan and extremeistan, because they demonstrate our inability to frame our thinking outside of linear networks, and see most of the networks we touch as non-linear dynamic experiences. We are thus condemned to bouts of mediocrity followed by extremism
Yes, though it was not possible to do so.
Work for software, read when going to work!
The narration is very monotonous and boring, also the content of the book feels very opinionated.
I am not sure i would have completly gotten the understanding of this, had i not been reading this for a class. However, I find it extremely interesting, motivating and thought provoking. This is definately one that make you go out of your comfort zone!
A really good book for a club to bring up conversations around!!
The fact that it makes me think.
Canarsie Brooklyn, what more can I say
I like the way Nassim thinks, his stories have nice twists, I recommend this book as a nice
way to spend leisure time.
I love to learn, grow and evolve as an being!
yes, very insightful
i just liked the entire book
nice and fun presentation
hard to say exactly
a good listen!
I won't try to go into details about this book other than to say this: we must stop teaching' too big to fail.' Here the author goes into detail about why were having financial difficulty as a company and why it's going to get worse. We also see why finance students are coming out completely unprepared for what is happening in the markets the first decade of the 21st century. This is the second time I've read this book and understand more about this time than I did the first time I read it. I recommend everyone to read it who agrees that 'too big to fail' is wrong.
There are several interesting concepts, specially the fallacies. Several people have complained about the narrator, but I set the playback at triple speed and it was easy to understand and not boring.
At the last three hours, when speaking of fractals, the author is so arrogant (this guy was my only living teacher. All my other teachers are books. He was the only one who understood the black swan and the misuse of the Bell curve, on and on) that it was too distracting.
I like what he has to say, but prefer the way "the invisble gorilla" and "thinking, fast and slow" have exposed it.
Great intelectual pleasure, a must for all who want to understand better what is going on around us and what we can expect in the future. Strongly recommend.
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