©2007 Nassim Nicholas Taleb; (P)2007 Recorded Books, LLC
"[Taleb] administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting." (Booklist)
"The hubris of predictions - and our perpetual surprise when the not-predicted happens - are themes of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's engaging new book....It concerns the occurrence of the improbable, the power of rare events and the author's lament that 'in spite of the empirical record we continue to project into the future as if we were good at it.'" (The New York Times)
There are several interesting concepts, specially the fallacies. Several people have complained about the narrator, but I set the playback at triple speed and it was easy to understand and not boring.
At the last three hours, when speaking of fractals, the author is so arrogant (this guy was my only living teacher. All my other teachers are books. He was the only one who understood the black swan and the misuse of the Bell curve, on and on) that it was too distracting.
I like what he has to say, but prefer the way "the invisble gorilla" and "thinking, fast and slow" have exposed it.
Great intelectual pleasure, a must for all who want to understand better what is going on around us and what we can expect in the future. Strongly recommend.
Fooled By Randomness ... same author
The tone and the character of the narration appears to reflect that of the author ... although I do not know the author in person... overall very good narration ... manifests the attitude and views of the author.
The trap of platonicity.
Enjoyed listening to every moment of the book ... very true and it re-affirmed many thoughts I had before reading the book about various aspects of life ... just that Dr. Taleb has done a great job in translating those thoughts to words.
The first 100 (literally!) minutes of the audio book is nothing but an autobiography of the author showing in his own words how much smarter he is than everyone else. Tiresome is far too weak a word.
The observation that great uncertainty generally cannot be quantified surely is true but does not require a book to say. Do most people forget this fact? Sure. Does the author offer any practcal advice? No.
For a lesson in smug, read this book.
The Black Swan has a few pertinent ideas rephrased and repackaged throughout the book. However, if The Black Swan was reduced to real a discussion of those ideas - it would have taken, perhaps, one chapter to thoroughly cover the topics. The other 99% of the book explains the author's prejudices and his evaluation of his own genius. Apparently, in Taleb's estimation almost every expert on any variety of subjects are stupid, lazy, lack imagination, and focus. Luckily, Taleb percieves himself as truly original and one of the few clear thinkers of our generation...and he tells you about it over and over again...while throwing in anecdotes of how other great thinkers adore his ideas. I was hoping for something like I found in Malcolm Gladwell's books... clear interpretations of quirky phenomen. This is the only negative review of a Audible.com book I've ever written... so really... skip it... you'll be happy you did.
I think David Chandler is probably a reasonably good narrator, but the book itself was so bad that I don't think there is much he could have done to improve the experience. My guess is he interpreted the author's intent and words as they were meant to be interpreted... it's not Chandler's fault Taleb is a terrible writer.
I wish I had my credit back.
Well worth listening to a second time. Impossible to absorb all the implications first time around
I +1 Books.
Yes and no. It's too long. The author shows many examples, but starts to make advices and ideas how to use the "black swan" idea at the far, far end of the book.
The book should be 2/3 times shorter. Less examples, more actionable steps.
David is a good narrator. I prefer when an author read a book, but it's ok.
Yes and no. Yes for idea. No for too much examples.
I recommend to read this book (not listen) and skip chapters.
I wish Audible would provide a better product. I continually have to go back and try to find my place to listen. Audible apparently disables the ability to burn a book to even one disk so I can listen to it. The iPod just doesn't do well on audiobooks (probably unless you buy them from Apple). It is impossible to get a book burned to CD so I can listen to it and it never plays right on the iPod.
The ideas I obtained may listening worth my time. I got some great ideas. It was a little frustrating to have to listen to some of the non-essential talk, but I got a lot of good ideas.
The insight provided is very inspirational... applies to aspects of life other than investing.
We live in Extreme-a-stan.
performer is fantastic
I'm a lover of whimsical, colourful, revealing and honest writing, whether fiction or non-fiction.
This is a colourful, accessible, lively book, with a clear central thesis, elaborated with plethora of interesting stories and fascinating examples. Thoroughly recommended.
Report Inappropriate Content
If you find this review inappropriate and think it should be removed from our site, let us know. This report will be reviewed by Audible and we will take appropriate action.