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Darryl

Nederland, CO, United States | Member Since 2010

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  • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't

    • UNABRIDGED (15 hrs and 43 mins)
    • By Nate Silver
    • Narrated By Mike Chamberlain
    • Whispersync for Voice-ready
    Overall
    (1135)
    Performance
    (946)
    Story
    (945)

    Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. The New York Times now publishes FiveThirtyEight.com, where Silver is one of the nation’s most influential political forecasters. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.

    Grant says: "Hot"
    "The mistake in chapter 8"
    Overall
    Performance
    Story
    What could have made this a 4 or 5-star listening experience for you?

    I was loving it until Chapter 8. Silver makes a simple serious mistake regarding the hedge bet on the Lakers winning the championship. Does he do this in other chapters? I don't know. A 12 year old with a feel for numbers should be able to pick this one off, and removes any credibility the book had.


    What other book might you compare The Signal and the Noise to and why?

    Freakonomics, The Black Swann, Blink - all of whom have taken a fall in my eyes for their twisting of the truth for a good story, but this mistake by Silver is the most egregious of all of them.


    Any additional comments?

    Say it aint so, Nate!

    0 of 2 people found this review helpful

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