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Steven

ellicott city, MD, United States | Member Since 2005

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  • Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway

    • UNABRIDGED (11 hrs and 2 mins)
    • By Dan Gardner
    • Narrated By Walter Dixon
    • Whispersync for Voice-ready
    Overall
    (29)
    Performance
    (15)
    Story
    (14)

    In Future Babble, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future. The truth is that experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys.

    Christopher says: "Sobering and Informative"
    "Just plain babble"
    Overall
    Performance
    Story

    I wanted to like this book and thought I would correct the previous reviews. Unfortunately this is just bad science and not well researched. Some parts are accurate but lots suffer from the same problems he complains about. Yes predicting the future is difficult. However, anypne can selective cherry pick data to make a point. Yes there are lots of biases that may cause this problem. One which he does not seem to recoginize, despite talking about the origins early in the book is publication bias. People do not buy books that are about happy and cheerful outlooks. People want to read about disasters and problems. There are better books out there, I would pass on this one.

    1 of 2 people found this review helpful

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