An amazingly well told story of the second World War. A great statesman and a great writer. And the narrator is fantastic!
People who need to know why making predictions is difficult.
Write more about how to make a good prediction - what works?
It didn't really answer the second part of the question: "and some don't".
Thorough and fun examples, prowoking and eye-opening.
"The black swan", only well written, and without the arrogance of Taleb.
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