The concept introduced was amazing, but the author hasn't really presented any specifics or practical insights. Yet, the general idea is very essential and mind opening and everyone should believe in the general concept introduce here. Putting my comments together, this book is only an introductory level book.
Truly worthwhile content that goes beyond traditional "critical thinking", and has us start to have probabilistic thinking. I just wished that it had been read by the author
Just the one - the annoying assumption that everyone and their uncle knows baseball vernacular. The book is good, the concept coherent but the examples mystified more than explained.
Nothing wrong with the performance
Silver's book provides a miriad of views on our natural interest of the future. Provinding example after example of interesting predictions without excessive detail, Silver contrasts the problems of our wishful thinking verses weighing reasonable probability with far less bias.
I thought the text of book worked well in an audio format, and the pace of the reader, Mike Chamberlain, appropriate. Worth listening to more than once.
People with background in statistics will find little new. Stories are interesting. Dont expect too detail.
The book starts strong with an interesting historical narrative about Protestantism and the advent of the printing press. Then it sort of meanders through some anecdotes of failed or successful predictions for what seemed like most of the body, the conclusion was also good, though felt like it should have been supported by clearer points made in the body.
I came away thinking the conclusion as a proposition was well written and fairly compelling, and what I took as weakness in the body might have been signs that the book was penned opportunistically on the heels of Silver's media attention rather than bringing anything new to the discussion about social psychology and the lack of statistical reasoning in the general (US) public.
Definitely a must read or listen for anyone that is concerned about what so called experts are saying. We all need to be wary of predictions and statistics especially in the hands of governments and corporations. This is an excellent primer on the topic.