Nate Silver has done a great job in describing many aspects of probability theory. But he spent too much time on sports and gambling and not enough on Climate Change, which he got wrong.
Enjoyed the book, saved me while feeling irritated commuting to work. Quite often I stayed in the car in the parking lot finishing listening to an interesting chapter.
Have you ever been curious as to why certain political officials get elected, why weather is more predictable than earth quakes, or how thinking probably can be beneficial to thinking in absolutes? Nate dives into all of these difficult questions and answers them with wonderful examples. Yes, it is complicated to understand, but that is the point of thinking probably. I enjoyed listening to this audiobook and look forward to more from Nate Silver.
Theodore Roosevelt's "The Man in the Arena" & Raise High the Roof Beam Carpenters: Po Lo's account of the dun-colored mare @deadgametheory
Very sobering information for readers (and listeners) who often believe they recognize patterns where none exist. Mr. Silver utilizes statistical analysis that confirms the outlooks of people like Warren Buffett, Burton Malkiel, and Rolf Dobelli.
The volume of examples in the breadth of so many different fields.
Solid performance in a work that described numerous grafts.
How often we create a very inaccurate story to reconcile why something we witnessed happened.
Very irreverent, and seemingly very correct.
Silver's explanations are clear and make sense - much more reasonable than a number of more polemical texts. He pretty much avoids "let's unmask the villain" tactics which tend to dominate a lot of economic discussionFor example, his explanation that rating agencies rated CDO's on the assumption that mortgage foreclosures were independent events when the housing bubble really made foreclosures more likely was pretty clear. He also explains the incentives of the rating agencies without casting (too many) aspersions. That kind of explanation is much more satisfying to me than witch hunts. I certainly hadn't understood that part of the story before. Fulminating about various parties' "greed" is not very interesting, unless you happen to think that greed is some new human characteristic that reared its ugly head in 2004 and caused the whole mess.
I did like the book, but I am probably going to stop reading it after Chapter 3. The author makes a good point many times, and then rams it down our throat to the point where you get sick of hearing it. I get the point, xxxx screwed up - move on...
They were easy to follow - I was a little worried having an audiobook on this topic..
Mike Chamberlain was an amazing narrator - I just realized that he wasn't the author now... He read it witha good believability that he was speaking from experience
Not at all, Its not really a story book
The book was good, but the repetitiveness just got grating... And when he started mentioning his website every couple of minutes, that was the final straw for me...
As far as I know, this book is one-of-a-kind. Nate Silver lets the sunshine in, exposing politico fakery while elevating prediction to a rigorous and transparent level.
A good defense of general skepticism and accessible explanation of the usefulness and limits of forecasting.
Money ball and similar books by Michael Lewis for making data analysis accessible.
Unintentionally hilarious name-dropping which I found more endearing than annoying. Almost like somebody told Mr. Silver to punch it up. Lots of clangingly unnecessary references to the food eaten with smart, successful people. Small price to pay for this book,though.
Nate explains things very well. Easy to listen to and you will learn a lot. You don't have to know math to enjoy this book.