Wow! George really has his head buried in the sand! I wish I could get these 15 hours back. His "predictions" are far from shocking (although every other sentance is "this will surprise you...") and I don't think he has any sense of vision. Looking to the past at 50 year cycles and then using that model to look forward is pretty broken, at best. A 50 year cycle 100 years ago can play out in 15 years now. The acceleration of all things geo-political and and the free-flow of information in our age of technology will have far more impact that George things.
George refers to North America all the time, and speaks of the US in just about every sentence. He says "The US" in one sentence, and then refers to "we" in others... it's clear where his bias lies and his red, white & blue blinders are astounding! Not a mention of Canada, a country who's economy was 11th largest in the world in 2008 and shares a border with the US. Yet he goes on and on about countries of the former USSR.... is this to impress us with your Worldliness?
Save your money/credit and skip this one.
I am a documentary film producer from Los Angeles.
The desire of empire and domination of the 18 and 19th century are coming back to life in this daring epic of the next 100 yrs.
While I commend the author for his courage to predict. I wish his predictions were more plausible but you never know...
For example lets compare China and Poland for the next hundred years:
I wonder if the author noticed that the population of China is about 40 times bigger than the polish one, and the GDP of China is the 4th in the world while Polands is the 47th...
Poland never even build a decent car, while China sent men in space and even has a lunar program.
China has a reserve of 140 million unemployed ready to take jobs, while Poland has one of the oldest population in the world and lots of young people living the country for a better life.
So guess who does the author think will be the superpower out of the two? The one to give the Russians and Americans a major headache for the next 100 years?
Poland - of course.
For a while I thought it was a satire, but he means it...
This book does not back up any of the guess work with fact or logic, it is purely based on FANTASY the author calls "geo-political strategy" Examples in book:
- Japan attacks US Space 'Battle Stars' on Thanksgiving from the back side of the moon
- Japan, Turkey and Mexico are our real enemy
- US and Russia go through another cold war
Sort of hokey, but a fun listen...
I'm an inventor, chef, fisherman and puffin hunter from Iceland that loves to learn new things and enjoy the day.
One of the worst books I have ever listened to, it's not even a good fantasy if that's what the author was going for. To be honest, these predictions were so dumb that it got physically painful to listen to that dribble.
Stay away from this audiobook, since you might as well save the credit and spend the rest of the day just listening to TV static for better information about the world.
typical conservative bubble, ignoring real history based on US needs. Where is Turkey's history of oppresion of christians and Kurds, our repression of Kurd independence, and the Armenian holocaust.
One sided view
I would highly recommend this book, it lets you think a litte more behond the morning New.
And think on the long run...
The lesson learned is:
"The more thing change... the more they stay the same...
Same Human Beeings... Dressed in New Tecnology...
Great book that uses historical precedent to forecast coming events. Very interesting and while the outcomes seem barely plausible at this time, Friedman makes a strong case for how global politics will play out.
George Friedman's analysis is pretty good, but as Yogi Berra said 'Its tough to make predictions, especially about the future.' I think that Friedman makes a convincing argument that America has certain leverage that could produce long time global power. However because so many of his predictions are dependent on other predictions I think there is a good possibility that he may very well have got nothing right.
He advocates America's long term power because we are both on the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. However, he dismisses global warming outright saying there is no problem man makes that he can not also solve. But had he understood the implications of Global Warming then he may have also seen the implications of a "northern passage" being created across the artic ocean that would shorten the sea distance between the far east and Europe by a third and completely bypass American warships. If you don???t believe in global warming then you don???t think about this, but in reality this northern passage could be in use by the end of this decade and this could greatly undermine American global power.
The other thing that Friedman fails to grasp is there are so many divisions in American politics. He enumerates wars like Vietnam and Iraq, but he fails to see that in American politics politicians are cannibalizing their own countries position in the world at the expense of winning their next election. This self cannibalizing nature to American politics will lead to a power grab by one of the two major parties that will not just undermine democracy in America but will also undermine America???s position globally. This may be the only commonality that we have with the ancient Roman empire that Friedman draws so many parallels with.
Instead he focuses on the divisions in China, however most Chinese have a much stronger loyalty to their government because their government has been able to lift more people out of poverty then any other government in the history of man kind. He s
This is a highly entertaining work of popular science. At times it is thought provoking, and at times funny. The farther into the century the author gets, the less rooted in facts the narrative becomes. As one should expect.
The writing is easy and flows well, the narrator does a good job and is pleasant to listen to.
I like Friedman's approach to history. He avoids the common trap that typical forecasters seem to fall into lately- That just because a trend is headed in a certain direction means that we can safely project where it will take us as if nothing will come along to alter that trend. He offers some interesting notions of things that will alter current trends.
He takes his vignettes a little too far in terms of detail, but he does apply the appropriate caveats. Great material for discussion and debate.