I know this book would be too long and little read with full explanations of the predictions but the star wars scerario at the end left me more unbelieving then impressed.
It helps to have the book & maps to understand how he ties countrries and their reactions. You may not realize how large Poland is.
Addicted to audible. One the best things that happened to me
I was so excited initially when I got this book. It started really strong with lots of insights that was useful and the way of thinking was rational and enjoyable. Eventually, the discussions started building up a scenario that felt like a fiction story and i believe defeated the purpose of the book. Also, the book tackled the next one hundred years from one angle and didn't discuss many concerns such as the environment or effect of technology on our lives.
In a way, the book gave me a better prospective of life, but it could have been built up much better than this.
Not only is this uninteresting but it has a decided bias. If you want a Republican view of the next 100 years, read away. If you want a more balanced view, this book isn't for you.
I found the first half of "The Next 100 Years" was mostly fascinating. In the second half, however, I felt Mr. Friedman became too carried away with his own fictional scenario. This required suspension of disbelief beyond my ability.
In his summation, his dismissal of global warming as having any significant impact on the geopolitics of the future -- on the basis that birth rate trends and technology will solve the problem -- ignores the possibility that a tipping point may be reached too early in the 21st century for any reversal therefrom.
This book was NOT what I had in mind. I was hoping for predictions of science, technology, pandemics, evolution, ecology, etc. But this book is entirely about geopolitics. UGH!
What's worse, it is very U.S.A.-centric. OK, the US has a strong economy and an aggressive foreign policy. But this book puts America front and centre (notice the Canadian spelling) as the overwhelmingly dominant force for the next century. Maybe Friedman is right. But I'm not convinced. This book presents a narrative of how things might unfold, but ignores the unpredictable. I simply found it mostly uninteresting.
I absolutely enjoyed this book! Listen to this book because it will truly explain how the US got to where it is today and where it is going. It's an amazing lesson in history.
Yes, predicting the next 100 years is an impossible task, but the author makes it worthwhile here. It will get you thinking about geo-politics and large interplay of forces. An ascendant Mexico, Poland, Turkey, and Japan? A second Russian cold war and collapse? Unfortunately, he ignores climate change, biotechnology, and nanotechnology, which have the possibility of radically changing every paradigm.
Wow! George really has his head buried in the sand! I wish I could get these 15 hours back. His "predictions" are far from shocking (although every other sentance is "this will surprise you...") and I don't think he has any sense of vision. Looking to the past at 50 year cycles and then using that model to look forward is pretty broken, at best. A 50 year cycle 100 years ago can play out in 15 years now. The acceleration of all things geo-political and and the free-flow of information in our age of technology will have far more impact that George things.
George refers to North America all the time, and speaks of the US in just about every sentence. He says "The US" in one sentence, and then refers to "we" in others... it's clear where his bias lies and his red, white & blue blinders are astounding! Not a mention of Canada, a country who's economy was 11th largest in the world in 2008 and shares a border with the US. Yet he goes on and on about countries of the former USSR.... is this to impress us with your Worldliness?
Save your money/credit and skip this one.
I am a documentary film producer from Los Angeles.
The desire of empire and domination of the 18 and 19th century are coming back to life in this daring epic of the next 100 yrs.
While I commend the author for his courage to predict. I wish his predictions were more plausible but you never know...
For example lets compare China and Poland for the next hundred years:
I wonder if the author noticed that the population of China is about 40 times bigger than the polish one, and the GDP of China is the 4th in the world while Polands is the 47th...
Poland never even build a decent car, while China sent men in space and even has a lunar program.
China has a reserve of 140 million unemployed ready to take jobs, while Poland has one of the oldest population in the world and lots of young people living the country for a better life.
So guess who does the author think will be the superpower out of the two? The one to give the Russians and Americans a major headache for the next 100 years?
Poland - of course.
For a while I thought it was a satire, but he means it...
This book does not back up any of the guess work with fact or logic, it is purely based on FANTASY the author calls "geo-political strategy" Examples in book:
- Japan attacks US Space 'Battle Stars' on Thanksgiving from the back side of the moon
- Japan, Turkey and Mexico are our real enemy
- US and Russia go through another cold war
Sort of hokey, but a fun listen...