Friedman, the brain behind STRATFOR, a private intelligence service, lays out the next century. This is geo-politics on a grand level. Russia waning, China in turmoil, Poland vs. Turkey, Japanese moon bases, and Mexico reclaiming Texas. It makes me look at today's headlines in a different fashion.
This was one of the few books that had a tremendous impact on my view of the World. Mr.Friedman clearly explained geopolitics and trends in past European and American history. I understand much better "war on terror" and reasons for war in Iraq and Afganistan and the balance of power. The ideas were logical and well supported. In my mind it "made sense". The true question is what can we do to prepare (and prosper) for those changes? How about part 2 Mr.Friedman?
This book is a good listen. I think the point of the book is beyond the predictions it espouses but rather the logic and geopolitical history that underpins his assertions. That said, he was pushing his luck by the end of the book with his "predictions" especially considering how quantum leaps in technology and "basic science" impacts society and culture (an issue only grazed on by the author).
I found it thorough and a good listen especially on Eastern European issues. Outside of North Africa he failed to discuss the rest of the continent. I find that to be a big oversight in the book given the history and role Africa has played (albeit not always voluntarily!) in global politics. So are readers to presume that the entire African subcontinent will not have any significant role in geopolitics in the next 100 years? He should have at least dedicated one chapter to Africa and its inter-relationships with the assertions he is making. That oversight leaves some holes in his strategic logic that diminishes the value in my mind. That said, it was worth a critical listening too. I will get a print copy when I'm book shopping too.
Friedman certainly knows his subject. As the founder of StratFor, he has access to incredible information from around the world, and years of experience piecing together how that information shapes the world we live in today. This book is the summation of that analysis extended to the next hundred years.
While one may not reach the same conclusions (e.g., China being less of a world leader than, say, Poland), you are sure to be challenged to think about his predictions...and perhaps alter your own! I was particularly taken by his discussion of the ascendancy of Mexico, having long thought that Mexico has unrealized potential (increasing education levels, for example).
I strongly recommend the book to anyone interested in what the next 30, 50 and 100 years may look like.
Excellent knowledge of his topic and exceptional understanding of geopolitics. If you are looking for an unbiased analysis of the facts and driving forces that shape the world, this is the book you need. Truely fantastic read.
interesting insights i hadnt heard elsewhere. at times it is pretty dry. if you are willing to give the author the benefit of the doubt (which you have to do anyway) just get the abridged version and save some time.
I enjoyed this book throughly. The author has some interesting ideas about what the future will hold. My biggest compliant was his predictions of future conflicts seemed definite and the outcomes predetermined. Pick up this book for an easy read that you can finish over the weekend not for piercing insight.
Hyperbole is the Best Thing EVER!!!!
I've seen people talk about his predictions, but don't get caught up in that.
He uses his knowledge to take a stab at predicting the next 100 years. How accurate will it be? Probably not a lot. But he called the crisis in the Ukraine six years ago. So he is starting out strong.
All of his forecasting is just fun and interesting.
The underlying logic is what's important. Geopolitics and US grand strategy. How the short-term need to apply this strategy leads to new enemies/allies. I think he does a fairly good job of interpreting the grand strategies of Russia, Japan and Germany too. I'm a bit less certain on Turkey, Mexico and Poland. And the subject of immigration is mind-boggling good.
Give it a shot. It's well worth it if you don't get bogged down on the details.