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Everything Is Predictable
- How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
- Narrado por: Tom Chivers
- Duración: 8 h y 7 m
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Resumen del Editor
A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy.
At its simplest, Bayes’s theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes’s theorem is a description of almost everything.
But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence?
Fusing biography, razor-sharp science writing, and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining tour of Bayes’s theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.
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De: Giulia Enders
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How the Earth Works
- De: Michael E. Wysession, The Great Courses
- Narrado por: Michael E. Wysession
- Duración: 24 h y 31 m
- Grabación Original
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How the Earth Works takes you on an astonishing journey through time and space. In 48 lectures, you will look at what went into making our planet - from the big bang, to the formation of the solar system, to the subsequent evolution of Earth.
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Excellent course
- De Doug B. en 05-23-19
De: Michael E. Wysession, y otros
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Welcome to the Universe
- An Astrophysical Tour
- De: Michael A. Strauss, J. Richard Gott, Neil deGrasse Tyson
- Narrado por: Michael Butler Murray
- Duración: 17 h y 53 m
- Versión completa
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Welcome to the Universe is a personal guided tour of the cosmos by three of today's leading astrophysicists. Inspired by the enormously popular introductory astronomy course that Neil deGrasse Tyson, Michael A. Strauss, and J. Richard Gott taught together at Princeton, this book covers it all - from planets, stars, and galaxies to black holes, wormholes, and time travel.
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All About What We Know About the Universe - ALL
- De J.B. en 02-17-17
De: Michael A. Strauss, y otros
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Mother of God
- An Extraordinary Journey into the Uncharted Tributaries of the Western Amazon
- De: Paul Rosolie
- Narrado por: Jonathan Yen
- Duración: 11 h y 27 m
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For fans of The Lost City of Z, Walking the Amazon, and Turn Right at Machu Picchu comes naturalist and explorer Paul Rosolie’s extraordinary adventure in the uncharted tributaries of the Western Amazon - a tale of discovery that vividly captures the awe, beauty, and isolation of this endangered land and presents an impassioned call to save it.
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This whole book is B.S.
- De bob fields en 09-30-18
De: Paul Rosolie
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The Theory of Everything: The Quest to Explain All Reality
- De: Don Lincoln, The Great Courses
- Narrado por: Don Lincoln
- Duración: 12 h y 21 m
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At the end of his career, Albert Einstein was pursuing a dream far more ambitious than the theory of relativity. He was trying to find an equation that explained all physical reality - a theory of everything. Experimental physicist and award-winning educator Dr. Don Lincoln takes you on this exciting journey in The Theory of Everything: The Quest to Explain All Reality. Suitable for the intellectually curious at all levels and assuming no background beyond basic high-school math, these 24 half-hour lectures cover recent developments at the forefront of particle physics and cosmology.
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Audible’s Best Science Offering, A Gem
- De MikeB en 12-08-18
De: Don Lincoln, y otros
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Plant Science: An Introduction to Botany
- De: Catherine Kleier, The Great Courses
- Narrado por: Catherine Kleier
- Duración: 12 h y 13 m
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Dr. Catherine Kleier invites us to open our eyes to the phenomenal world of plant life and to the process she calls “Natura Revelata”, the joy of celebrating and learning from the secrets of nature. As Dr. Kleier shares her knowledge with contagious excitement for her subject, she emphasizes the middle ground: Instead of focusing on cell microbiology or the study of ecosystems and habitats, she stresses the basic biology, function, and the amazing adaptations of the plants we see all around us.
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Needs accompanying documentation and visual aides
- De Ryan en 04-04-19
De: Catherine Kleier, y otros
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Ranger Confidential
- Living, Working, and Dying in the National Parks
- De: Andrea Lankford
- Narrado por: Julia Motyka
- Duración: 9 h y 28 m
- Versión completa
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The real stories behind the scenery of America’s national parks. For 12 years, Andrea Lankford lived in the biggest, most impressive national parks in the world, working a job she loved. She chaperoned baby sea turtles on their journey to sea. She pursued bad guys on her galloping patrol horse. She jumped into rescue helicopters bound for the heart of the Grand Canyon. She won arguments with bears. She slept with a few too many rattlesnakes. Hell yeah, it was the best job in the world! Fortunately, Andrea survived it.
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Depressing from Cover to Cover
- De Drew (@drewsant) en 04-13-15
De: Andrea Lankford
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The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy
- Superintelligent AI and the Geeks Who Are Trying to Save Humanity's Future
- De: Tom Chivers
- Narrado por: Tom Chivers
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This is an audiobook about AI and AI risk. But it's also more importantly about a community of people who are trying to think rationally about intelligence, and the places that these thoughts are taking them, and what insight they can and can't give us about the future of the human race over the next few years. It explains why these people are worried, why they might be right and why they might be wrong.
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The Theory That Would Not Die
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Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. Sharon Bertsch McGrayne here explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it.
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Who is the intended audience?
- De Billy en 07-21-14
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Math-ish
- Finding Creativity, Diversity, and Meaning in Mathematics
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Mathematics is a fundamental part of life, yet every one of us has a unique relationship with learning and understanding the subject. Working with numbers may inspire confidence in our abilities or provoke anxiety and trepidation. Stanford researcher, mathematics education professor, and the leading expert on math learning Dr. Jo Boaler argues that our differences are the key to unlocking our greatest mathematics potential.
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May Contain Lies
- How Stories, Statistics, and Studies Exploit Our Biases and What We Can Do About It
- De: Alex Edmans
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In this eye-opening book, renowned economist Alex Edmans teaches us how to separate fact from fiction. Using colorful examples—from a wellness guru's tragic but fabricated backstory to the blunders that led to the Deepwater Horizon disaster to the diet that ensnared millions yet hastened its founder's death—Edmans highlights the biases that cause us to mistake statements for facts, facts for data, data for evidence, and evidence for proof.
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The Science of Cleaning
- Use the Power of Chemistry to Clean Smarter, Easier, and Safer
- De: Dario Bressanini PhD
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Chemistry professor Dario Bressanini is on a mission to teach listeners about safe, sustainable methods for cleaning their homes while debunking widespread myths. He uses scientific evidence to answer common queries, digging into chemistry basics like solubility, pH, and concentration. He explains how to choose the best product for any job, including advice on making selections at the store and using just the right amount to cut down on waste.
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Bernoulli's Fallacy
- Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
- De: Aubrey Clayton
- Narrado por: Tim H. Dixon
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
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Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the 17th-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it.
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Rigorously Bayesian
- De Anonymous User en 01-25-22
De: Aubrey Clayton
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The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy
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The Theory That Would Not Die
- How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
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Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. Sharon Bertsch McGrayne here explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it.
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Who is the intended audience?
- De Billy en 07-21-14
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Math-ish
- Finding Creativity, Diversity, and Meaning in Mathematics
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Mathematics is a fundamental part of life, yet every one of us has a unique relationship with learning and understanding the subject. Working with numbers may inspire confidence in our abilities or provoke anxiety and trepidation. Stanford researcher, mathematics education professor, and the leading expert on math learning Dr. Jo Boaler argues that our differences are the key to unlocking our greatest mathematics potential.
De: Jo Boaler
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May Contain Lies
- How Stories, Statistics, and Studies Exploit Our Biases and What We Can Do About It
- De: Alex Edmans
- Narrado por: Alex Edmands
- Duración: 8 h y 33 m
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In this eye-opening book, renowned economist Alex Edmans teaches us how to separate fact from fiction. Using colorful examples—from a wellness guru's tragic but fabricated backstory to the blunders that led to the Deepwater Horizon disaster to the diet that ensnared millions yet hastened its founder's death—Edmans highlights the biases that cause us to mistake statements for facts, facts for data, data for evidence, and evidence for proof.
De: Alex Edmans
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The Science of Cleaning
- Use the Power of Chemistry to Clean Smarter, Easier, and Safer
- De: Dario Bressanini PhD
- Narrado por: Robert Shiels
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Chemistry professor Dario Bressanini is on a mission to teach listeners about safe, sustainable methods for cleaning their homes while debunking widespread myths. He uses scientific evidence to answer common queries, digging into chemistry basics like solubility, pH, and concentration. He explains how to choose the best product for any job, including advice on making selections at the store and using just the right amount to cut down on waste.
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Bernoulli's Fallacy
- Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
- De: Aubrey Clayton
- Narrado por: Tim H. Dixon
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Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the 17th-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it.
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Quanta and Fields
- The Biggest Ideas in the Universe
- De: Sean Carroll
- Narrado por: Sean Carroll
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Sean Carroll is creating a profoundly new approach to sharing physics with a broad audience, one that goes beyond analogies to show how physicists really think. He cuts to the bare mathematical essence of our most profound theories, explaining every step in a uniquely accessible way. Quantum field theory is how modern physics describes nature at its most profound level. Starting with the basics of quantum mechanics itself, Sean Carroll explains measurement and entanglement before explaining how the world is really made of fields.
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exactly the level I need
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The Logic of Scientific Discovery
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Upon its first English publication in 1959, Popper's The Logic of Scientific Discovery revolutionized thinking about the scientific method. Largely an exploration of the demarcation problem, or what distinguishes science from non-science, Popper introduced and defended his concept of falsifability -- that scientific systems are ones open to empirical disconfirmation -- against the prevailing views of his day.
De: Karl Popper
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Is Your Work Worth It?
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According to recent studies, barely a third of American workers feel “engaged” at work, and for many people around the world, happiness is lowest when earning power is highest. After a global pandemic that changed why, how, and what people do for a living, many workers find themselves wondering what makes their daily routine worthwhile. In Is Your Work Worth It?, two professors–a philosopher and organizational psychologist–investigate the purpose of work and its value in our lives.
De: Christopher Wong Michaelson, y otros
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Playing with Reality
- How Games Have Shaped Our World
- De: Kelly Clancy
- Narrado por: Patty Nieman
- Duración: 11 h y 39 m
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We play games to learn about the world, to understand our minds and the minds of others, and to make predictions about the future. Games are an essential aspect of humanity and a powerful tool for modeling reality. They’re also a lot of fun. But games can be dangerous, especially when we mistake the model worlds of games for reality itself and let gamification co-opt human decision making. Playing with Reality explores the riveting history of games since the Enlightenment.
De: Kelly Clancy
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Quantum Physics, Into the Light 2-in-1 Value
- Quantum Physics + Relativity for Beginners: The 7 Bizarre Discoveries You Must Know to Master Them Fast, Revealed Step-by-Step (In Plain English)
- De: John Stoddard
- Narrado por: Joel Richards
- Duración: 7 h y 1 m
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In 1965, the great American physicist Richard Feynman famously proclaimed, "I think I can safely say that nobody understands Quantum Mechanics." Is there any wonder why? Particles that pop in and out of existence... Spooky action at a distance that travels faster than light... Infinite universes and branching realities? In this book, we will break through the confusion and reveal to you the most important ideas of Quantum Physics, told through the amazing true story of just 4 bizarre discoveries.
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Outstanding introduction to complex topics
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De: John Stoddard
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Machine Learning for Beginners
- The Beginners Guide to Understand Artificial Intelligence Business Applications and Machine Learning for Business. Includes Deep Learning and Data Science for Business
- De: Oliver Tensor
- Narrado por: Michael Fryar
- Duración: 3 h y 15 m
- Versión completa
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Narración:
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The powerful applications of AI have already transformed our daily lives. Virtual personal and home assistants (like Siri in Apple Pods and Alexa in Amazon Echo) have become everyday use products. Artificial intelligence and machine learning are closely related. They have become an important part of scientific study. It involves the study of statistical models and algorithms and the systems used for task performance. Our aim with this audiobook is to provide you a 360 degree view of the fundamentals and importance of machine learning technology for the beginners’ level.
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horrible voiceover
- De John en 10-28-19
De: Oliver Tensor
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On the Edge
- The Art of Risking Everything
- De: Nate Silver
- Narrado por: Nate Silver
- Duración: 13 h
- Versión completa
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In the bestselling The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver showed how forecasting would define the age of Big Data. Now, in this timely and riveting new book, Silver investigates "The River," or those whose mastery of risk allows them to shape—and dominate—so much of modern life. These professional risk takers—poker players and hedge fund managers, crypto true-believers and blue-chip art collectors—can teach us much about navigating the uncertainty of the 21st century.
De: Nate Silver
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The Random Factor
- How Chance and Luck Profoundly Shape Our Lives and the World Around Us
- De: Mark Robert Rank
- Narrado por: Donald Corren
- Duración: 8 h y 10 m
- Versión completa
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It’s comforting to think that we can be successful because we work hard, climb ladders, and get what we deserve, but each of us has been profoundly touched by randomness. Chance is shown to play a crucial role in shaping outcomes across history, throughout the natural world, and in our everyday lives. In The Random Factor, Mark Robert Rank draws from a wealth of evidence, including interviews and research, to explain how luck and chance play out and reveals how we can use these lessons to guide our personal lives and public policies.
De: Mark Robert Rank
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Statistic
- Fundamentals, Applications and Developments in Civil Engineering (Fundamental Principles in Civil Engineering)
- De: Matteus Svens
- Narrado por: Vincent Saphe
- Duración: 6 h y 48 m
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Explore the practical application of statistics in civil engineering. In this work, delve into the mathematical fundamentals of statistics and discover how it is crucial for making precise decisions in civil engineering projects. This book guides listeners through essential statistical techniques, from basic methods to advanced approaches, illustrating its vital role in areas such as structural analysis, geotechnics, and project management.
De: Matteus Svens
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The Data Detective
- Ten Easy Rules to Make Sense of Statistics
- De: Tim Harford
- Narrado por: Tim Harford
- Duración: 10 h y 24 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Today we think statistics are the enemy, numbers used to mislead and confuse us. That’s a mistake, Tim Harford says in The Data Detective. We shouldn’t be suspicious of statistics - we need to understand what they mean and how they can improve our lives: they are, at heart, human behavior seen through the prism of numbers and are often “the only way of grasping much of what is going on around us”.
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I expected more
- De A. Visserman en 03-09-21
De: Tim Harford
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Get Better at Anything
- 12 Maxims for Mastery
- De: Scott H. Young
- Narrado por: Scott H. Young
- Duración: 7 h y 42 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Life revolves around learning—in school, at our jobs, even in the things we do for fun. Yet learning is often mysterious. Sometimes it comes fairly effortlessly: quickly finding our way around a new neighborhood or picking up the routine at a new job. In other cases, it’s a slog. We may spend hours in the library, yet still not do well on an exam. We may want to switch companies, industries, or even professions, but not feel qualified to make the leap.
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Getting Better is Always Better
- De Learning is Fun en 05-25-24
De: Scott H. Young
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Naked Statistics
- Stripping the Dread from the Data
- De: Charles Wheelan
- Narrado por: Jonathan Davis
- Duración: 10 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Historia
From batting averages and political polls to game shows and medical research, the real-world application of statistics continues to grow by leaps and bounds. How can we catch schools that cheat on standardized tests? How does Netflix know which movies you'll like? What is causing the rising incidence of autism? As best-selling author Charles Wheelan shows us in Naked Statistics, the right data and a few well-chosen statistical tools can help us answer these questions and more.
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Starts well then becomes non-Audible
- De Michael en 09-07-13
De: Charles Wheelan
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Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Everything Is Predictable
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- Frank from Virginia
- 06-01-24
Great explanations of apply Bayesian logic
The author makes Bayesian statistics comprehensible and then goes on to real world applications and some history as to how classical statistics sometimes yields bad science. Great listen.
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